Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency

Past research shows that a better understanding of reliability and identification of ways to improve it can help a system's response to a disaster, leading to increased transportation system resilience. This study focuses on the quantification of improved reliability, which reduces the time of...

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Main Author: Soltani-Sobh, Ali (author)
Other Authors: Heaslip, Kevin (author), El Khoury, John (author)
Format: article
Published: 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10725/3091
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.10.005
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420915301151
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author Soltani-Sobh, Ali
author2 Heaslip, Kevin
El Khoury, John
author2_role author
author
author_facet Soltani-Sobh, Ali
Heaslip, Kevin
El Khoury, John
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Soltani-Sobh, Ali
Heaslip, Kevin
El Khoury, John
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015
2016-02-16T11:55:03Z
2016-02-16T11:55:03Z
2017-04-11
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 2212-4209
http://hdl.handle.net/10725/3091
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.10.005
Soltani-Sobh, A., Heaslip, K., & El Khoury, J. (2015). Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency: An uncertain based model. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 14, 536-544.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420915301151
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction
dc.rights.*.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
An uncertain based model
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
description Past research shows that a better understanding of reliability and identification of ways to improve it can help a system's response to a disaster, leading to increased transportation system resilience. This study focuses on the quantification of improved reliability, which reduces the time of annealing and recovery post uncertain disruption. A reliability model is presented by using three performance functions that estimate the total travel time, flow, and consumer surplus. Network reliability is estimated by considering uncertainties in link-capacity and demand sensitivity with respect to travel time, following a disaster. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses are conducted to identify the most crucial links in the transportation network, for which resistance should be increased to mitigate disaster risk. The simulation results show that the model provides accurate predictions of the system performance, and that a reliability model that accounts for uncertainty yields better results than a deterministic (no uncertainty) model. With higher accuracy models, planners are able to make informed decisions in disaster mitigation planning.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format article
id LAURepo_7a5b930ac22ce87890be87a6ace809ff
identifier_str_mv 2212-4209
Soltani-Sobh, A., Heaslip, K., & El Khoury, J. (2015). Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency: An uncertain based model. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 14, 536-544.
language_invalid_str_mv en
network_acronym_str LAURepo
network_name_str Lebanese American University repository
oai_identifier_str oai:laur.lau.edu.lb:10725/3091
publishDate 2015
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spelling Estimation of road network reliability on resiliencyAn uncertain based modelSoltani-Sobh, AliHeaslip, KevinEl Khoury, JohnPast research shows that a better understanding of reliability and identification of ways to improve it can help a system's response to a disaster, leading to increased transportation system resilience. This study focuses on the quantification of improved reliability, which reduces the time of annealing and recovery post uncertain disruption. A reliability model is presented by using three performance functions that estimate the total travel time, flow, and consumer surplus. Network reliability is estimated by considering uncertainties in link-capacity and demand sensitivity with respect to travel time, following a disaster. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses are conducted to identify the most crucial links in the transportation network, for which resistance should be increased to mitigate disaster risk. The simulation results show that the model provides accurate predictions of the system performance, and that a reliability model that accounts for uncertainty yields better results than a deterministic (no uncertainty) model. With higher accuracy models, planners are able to make informed decisions in disaster mitigation planning.PublishedN/A2016-02-16T11:55:03Z2016-02-16T11:55:03Z20152017-04-11Articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article2212-4209http://hdl.handle.net/10725/3091http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.10.005Soltani-Sobh, A., Heaslip, K., & El Khoury, J. (2015). Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency: An uncertain based model. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 14, 536-544.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420915301151enInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Reductioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:laur.lau.edu.lb:10725/30912021-03-19T09:59:50Z
spellingShingle Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
Soltani-Sobh, Ali
status_str publishedVersion
title Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
title_full Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
title_fullStr Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
title_short Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
title_sort Estimation of road network reliability on resiliency
url http://hdl.handle.net/10725/3091
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.10.005
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420915301151