Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights
This paper examines the channels through which resource dependence affects the probability of war. We consider all types of war within a worldwide panel dataset of all countries and territories, spanning the period 1960-2022. We systematically estimate the probability of war using a set of economic...
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2025
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10725/17327 https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842 http://libraries.lau.edu.lb/research/laur/terms-of-use/articles.php https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842 |
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| _version_ | 1864513474368897024 |
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| author | Al Shami, Farah |
| author2 | Arayssi, Mahmoud Marrouch, Walid Sayour, Nagham |
| author2_role | author author author |
| author_facet | Al Shami, Farah Arayssi, Mahmoud Marrouch, Walid Sayour, Nagham |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Al Shami, Farah Arayssi, Mahmoud Marrouch, Walid Sayour, Nagham |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-10-03T13:35:45Z 2025-10-03T13:35:45Z 2025 2025 |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 1024-2694 http://hdl.handle.net/10725/17327 https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842 Al Shami, F., Arayssi, M., Marrouch, W., & Sayour, N. (2025). Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights. Defence and Peace Economics, 1-17. http://libraries.lau.edu.lb/research/laur/terms-of-use/articles.php https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv | en |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | Defence and Peace Economics |
| dc.rights.*.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| description | This paper examines the channels through which resource dependence affects the probability of war. We consider all types of war within a worldwide panel dataset of all countries and territories, spanning the period 1960-2022. We systematically estimate the probability of war using a set of economic and geographic characteristics, including democracy, demography, legal origin, militarism, and sectoral composition. Using a panel probit model, we find that natural resources rents, military expenditures, and the presence of a common law tradition significantly increase the probability of war occurrence. However, we notice that this probability is decreasing in the level of economic development and democratization, and with the size of the services sector and trade openness. We also find that the effect of resource dependence varies by level of economic development, continent, landlocked status, legal origin, colonial history, and war type with civil wars being the salient type. Overall, we provide novel and updated evidence on an important dimension of the vexing question of the so-called ‘resource curse’. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| id | LAURepo_c93f5c7471b32fa7a075760e76cf6ca3 |
| identifier_str_mv | 1024-2694 Al Shami, F., Arayssi, M., Marrouch, W., & Sayour, N. (2025). Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights. Defence and Peace Economics, 1-17. |
| language_invalid_str_mv | en |
| network_acronym_str | LAURepo |
| network_name_str | Lebanese American University repository |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:laur.lau.edu.lb:10725/17327 |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| spelling | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insightsAl Shami, FarahArayssi, MahmoudMarrouch, WalidSayour, NaghamThis paper examines the channels through which resource dependence affects the probability of war. We consider all types of war within a worldwide panel dataset of all countries and territories, spanning the period 1960-2022. We systematically estimate the probability of war using a set of economic and geographic characteristics, including democracy, demography, legal origin, militarism, and sectoral composition. Using a panel probit model, we find that natural resources rents, military expenditures, and the presence of a common law tradition significantly increase the probability of war occurrence. However, we notice that this probability is decreasing in the level of economic development and democratization, and with the size of the services sector and trade openness. We also find that the effect of resource dependence varies by level of economic development, continent, landlocked status, legal origin, colonial history, and war type with civil wars being the salient type. Overall, we provide novel and updated evidence on an important dimension of the vexing question of the so-called ‘resource curse’.Published2025-10-03T13:35:45Z2025-10-03T13:35:45Z20252025Articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article1024-2694http://hdl.handle.net/10725/17327https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842Al Shami, F., Arayssi, M., Marrouch, W., & Sayour, N. (2025). Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights. Defence and Peace Economics, 1-17.http://libraries.lau.edu.lb/research/laur/terms-of-use/articles.phphttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842enDefence and Peace Economicsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:laur.lau.edu.lb:10725/173272025-10-03T13:35:45Z |
| spellingShingle | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights Al Shami, Farah |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| title_full | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| title_fullStr | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| title_full_unstemmed | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| title_short | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| title_sort | Natural resource dependence and war nexus: new insights |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/10725/17327 https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842 http://libraries.lau.edu.lb/research/laur/terms-of-use/articles.php https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10242694.2025.2450842 |