Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus
<p>Pakistan's hydropower sector depends heavily on glacier and snowmelt water that originates from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). It is expected that climate change may adversely affect future hydropower generation capacity as a result of fluctuations in the magnitude, seasonality and hydro...
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| مؤلفون آخرون: | , , , , |
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2024
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| _version_ | 1864513540418699264 |
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| author | Hazrat Bilal (7367477) |
| author2 | Chamhuri Siwar (11979166) Mazlin Bin Mokhtar (22224298) Fatima-Zahra Lahlou (16931766) Kasturi Devi Kanniah (22224301) Tareq Al-Ansari (9872268) |
| author2_role | author author author author author |
| author_facet | Hazrat Bilal (7367477) Chamhuri Siwar (11979166) Mazlin Bin Mokhtar (22224298) Fatima-Zahra Lahlou (16931766) Kasturi Devi Kanniah (22224301) Tareq Al-Ansari (9872268) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Hazrat Bilal (7367477) Chamhuri Siwar (11979166) Mazlin Bin Mokhtar (22224298) Fatima-Zahra Lahlou (16931766) Kasturi Devi Kanniah (22224301) Tareq Al-Ansari (9872268) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2024-09-24T15:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Snow_runoff_modelling_in_the_upper_Indus_River_Basin_and_its_implication_to_energy_water_food_nexus/30094192 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Engineering Environmental engineering Environmental sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Hydropower Climate change SRM MODIS UIB EWF Nexus |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <p>Pakistan's hydropower sector depends heavily on glacier and snowmelt water that originates from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). It is expected that climate change may adversely affect future hydropower generation capacity as a result of fluctuations in the magnitude, seasonality and hydrological extremes of the Indus River flow. This study employed the Degree-Day Snowmelt Runoff Model alongside the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer MODIS and daily ground-based hydro-meteorological data to model the snowmelt runoff response in the UIB. The results indicated a significant increase in the annual and seasonal runoff under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, suggesting more water availability for hydropower and irrigation. By the end of the century, annual river flow is projected to increase by 28 % to 69 % under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios. Consequently, rise in annual river flow is expected to increase the electricity generation capacity of future hydropower projects by 93 % to 167 % under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The construction of robust multipurpose dams may potentially reduce flood risks in downstream areas during peak flows, while also supplying water for hydropower generation and irrigation during low flows. This, in turn, may enhance the resilience of both the hydropower and agriculture sectors in the face of climate change.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Ecological Modelling<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_0456d7e2f60dec404b386478e4a8a1f5 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/30094192 |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexusHazrat Bilal (7367477)Chamhuri Siwar (11979166)Mazlin Bin Mokhtar (22224298)Fatima-Zahra Lahlou (16931766)Kasturi Devi Kanniah (22224301)Tareq Al-Ansari (9872268)EngineeringEnvironmental engineeringEnvironmental sciencesClimate change impacts and adaptationHydropowerClimate changeSRMMODISUIBEWF Nexus<p>Pakistan's hydropower sector depends heavily on glacier and snowmelt water that originates from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). It is expected that climate change may adversely affect future hydropower generation capacity as a result of fluctuations in the magnitude, seasonality and hydrological extremes of the Indus River flow. This study employed the Degree-Day Snowmelt Runoff Model alongside the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer MODIS and daily ground-based hydro-meteorological data to model the snowmelt runoff response in the UIB. The results indicated a significant increase in the annual and seasonal runoff under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, suggesting more water availability for hydropower and irrigation. By the end of the century, annual river flow is projected to increase by 28 % to 69 % under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios. Consequently, rise in annual river flow is expected to increase the electricity generation capacity of future hydropower projects by 93 % to 167 % under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The construction of robust multipurpose dams may potentially reduce flood risks in downstream areas during peak flows, while also supplying water for hydropower generation and irrigation during low flows. This, in turn, may enhance the resilience of both the hydropower and agriculture sectors in the face of climate change.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Ecological Modelling<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871</a></p>2024-09-24T15:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110871https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Snow_runoff_modelling_in_the_upper_Indus_River_Basin_and_its_implication_to_energy_water_food_nexus/30094192CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/300941922024-09-24T15:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus Hazrat Bilal (7367477) Engineering Environmental engineering Environmental sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Hydropower Climate change SRM MODIS UIB EWF Nexus |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| title_full | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| title_fullStr | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| title_full_unstemmed | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| title_short | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| title_sort | Snow runoff modelling in the upper Indus River Basin and its implication to energy water food nexus |
| topic | Engineering Environmental engineering Environmental sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Hydropower Climate change SRM MODIS UIB EWF Nexus |