Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States

<p dir="ltr">Public and private investments play a central role in production functions by providing the required capital for development. There are many studies in the literature investigating the linear macroeconomic relations based on public and private investment in cross-country...

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Main Author: Ibrahim Ari (12058516) (author)
Other Authors: Muammer Koc (16078064) (author)
Published: 2020
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author Ibrahim Ari (12058516)
author2 Muammer Koc (16078064)
author2_role author
author_facet Ibrahim Ari (12058516)
Muammer Koc (16078064)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Ibrahim Ari (12058516)
Muammer Koc (16078064)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-03-13T09:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.3390/su12062243
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Economic_Growth_Public_and_Private_Investment_A_Comparative_Study_of_China_and_the_United_States/25858675
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Commerce, management, tourism and services
Banking, finance and investment
Economics
Applied economics
public investment
private investment
economic growth
nonlinear causality
sustainability
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">Public and private investments play a central role in production functions by providing the required capital for development. There are many studies in the literature investigating the linear macroeconomic relations based on public and private investment in cross-country and country-specific analyses by focusing on various perspectives and methodologies. However, there is a gap in the literature in exploring nonlinear causal relations among public-private investment and economic growth, particularly in the U.S. and China, in order to comparatively discuss policy implementations and potential implications. To narrow the gap, this study investigates nonlinear causal relationships between public-private investment and gross domestic product in the U.S. and China, which are the largest economies comprising about 40 percent of the global gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018. These countries show a similar pattern in economic growth and implementing sustainable development goals, although they follow considerably different socio-economic regimes and fall into different development levels (i.e., developed and developing countries). Therefore, there should be a common underlying mechanism in macroeconomic factors that fosters economic development. In this regard, the motivation behind the study is to reveal a common, but hidden, behavior of the nonlinear causal relations of given macroeconomic factors in these countries to make recommendations about sustainable economic growth for policymakers. To this end, there are three main contributions of the paper. First, the research finds nonlinear dependencies in the related time series between 1960–2015, thereby nonlinear causality tests are performed to reach more reliable information than the linear causality. Second, the study formulates a feedback loop between public and private investment through economic growth, which indicates that public and private investment should stimulate each other directly or indirectly (i.e., through the GDP). Third, the direction of the causality does not affect sustainable economic growth as long as it exists directly or indirectly.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Sustainability<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12062243" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12062243</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv 10.3390/su12062243
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/25858675
publishDate 2020
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spelling Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United StatesIbrahim Ari (12058516)Muammer Koc (16078064)Commerce, management, tourism and servicesBanking, finance and investmentEconomicsApplied economicspublic investmentprivate investmenteconomic growthnonlinear causalitysustainability<p dir="ltr">Public and private investments play a central role in production functions by providing the required capital for development. There are many studies in the literature investigating the linear macroeconomic relations based on public and private investment in cross-country and country-specific analyses by focusing on various perspectives and methodologies. However, there is a gap in the literature in exploring nonlinear causal relations among public-private investment and economic growth, particularly in the U.S. and China, in order to comparatively discuss policy implementations and potential implications. To narrow the gap, this study investigates nonlinear causal relationships between public-private investment and gross domestic product in the U.S. and China, which are the largest economies comprising about 40 percent of the global gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018. These countries show a similar pattern in economic growth and implementing sustainable development goals, although they follow considerably different socio-economic regimes and fall into different development levels (i.e., developed and developing countries). Therefore, there should be a common underlying mechanism in macroeconomic factors that fosters economic development. In this regard, the motivation behind the study is to reveal a common, but hidden, behavior of the nonlinear causal relations of given macroeconomic factors in these countries to make recommendations about sustainable economic growth for policymakers. To this end, there are three main contributions of the paper. First, the research finds nonlinear dependencies in the related time series between 1960–2015, thereby nonlinear causality tests are performed to reach more reliable information than the linear causality. Second, the study formulates a feedback loop between public and private investment through economic growth, which indicates that public and private investment should stimulate each other directly or indirectly (i.e., through the GDP). Third, the direction of the causality does not affect sustainable economic growth as long as it exists directly or indirectly.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Sustainability<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12062243" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12062243</a></p>2020-03-13T09:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.3390/su12062243https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Economic_Growth_Public_and_Private_Investment_A_Comparative_Study_of_China_and_the_United_States/25858675CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/258586752020-03-13T09:00:00Z
spellingShingle Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
Ibrahim Ari (12058516)
Commerce, management, tourism and services
Banking, finance and investment
Economics
Applied economics
public investment
private investment
economic growth
nonlinear causality
sustainability
status_str publishedVersion
title Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
title_full Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
title_fullStr Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
title_full_unstemmed Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
title_short Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
title_sort Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States
topic Commerce, management, tourism and services
Banking, finance and investment
Economics
Applied economics
public investment
private investment
economic growth
nonlinear causality
sustainability