Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023

<p dir="ltr">On 7 October 2023, Hamas dealt a severe blow to Israel’s deterrence by launching a multi-front incursion that killed more than a thousand Israelis and captured hundreds. Prevailing commentary frames the attack as an Israeli intelligence debacle; this study instead interr...

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محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Muhanad Seloom (21875261) (author)
منشور في: 2025
الموضوعات:
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
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الوصف
الملخص:<p dir="ltr">On 7 October 2023, Hamas dealt a severe blow to Israel’s deterrence by launching a multi-front incursion that killed more than a thousand Israelis and captured hundreds. Prevailing commentary frames the attack as an Israeli intelligence debacle; this study instead interrogates Hamas’s intelligence success. Drawing on strategic deception, the intelligence-cycle model and asymmetric warfare scholarship, it analyses how a resource-starved non-state actor concealed intentions. Process-traced evidence from investigative reporting, declassified Israeli documents, and interviews the author conducted with Hamas’s leadership, members and analysts reveals four enabling pillars: meticulous operational security, systematic open-source and cyber intelligence collection (OSINT), insider human intelligence (HUMINT) and a professionalised intelligence apparatus shaped by decades of counter-espionage practice and external tutoring. The findings underscore adversary agency and expose the fragility of technological superiority for advanced militaries.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Intelligence and National Security<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903</a></p>