Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023
<p dir="ltr">On 7 October 2023, Hamas dealt a severe blow to Israel’s deterrence by launching a multi-front incursion that killed more than a thousand Israelis and captured hundreds. Prevailing commentary frames the attack as an Israeli intelligence debacle; this study instead interr...
محفوظ في:
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| منشور في: |
2025
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إضافة وسم
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| _version_ | 1864513523977027584 |
|---|---|
| author | Muhanad Seloom (21875261) |
| author_facet | Muhanad Seloom (21875261) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Muhanad Seloom (21875261) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-11-06T03:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Veiled_intentions_Hamas_s_strategic_deception_and_intelligence_success_on_7_October_2023/31239559 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Human society Political science Information systems Information security management Strategic deception intelligence failure Hamas7 October 2023 asymmetric warfare counterintelligence Israel-Hamas conflict operational security |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <p dir="ltr">On 7 October 2023, Hamas dealt a severe blow to Israel’s deterrence by launching a multi-front incursion that killed more than a thousand Israelis and captured hundreds. Prevailing commentary frames the attack as an Israeli intelligence debacle; this study instead interrogates Hamas’s intelligence success. Drawing on strategic deception, the intelligence-cycle model and asymmetric warfare scholarship, it analyses how a resource-starved non-state actor concealed intentions. Process-traced evidence from investigative reporting, declassified Israeli documents, and interviews the author conducted with Hamas’s leadership, members and analysts reveals four enabling pillars: meticulous operational security, systematic open-source and cyber intelligence collection (OSINT), insider human intelligence (HUMINT) and a professionalised intelligence apparatus shaped by decades of counter-espionage practice and external tutoring. The findings underscore adversary agency and expose the fragility of technological superiority for advanced militaries.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Intelligence and National Security<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_158463e62def9328cc176041e4a5c8d6 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/31239559 |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023Muhanad Seloom (21875261)Human societyPolitical scienceInformation systemsInformation security managementStrategic deceptionintelligence failureHamas7 October 2023asymmetric warfarecounterintelligenceIsrael-Hamas conflictoperational security<p dir="ltr">On 7 October 2023, Hamas dealt a severe blow to Israel’s deterrence by launching a multi-front incursion that killed more than a thousand Israelis and captured hundreds. Prevailing commentary frames the attack as an Israeli intelligence debacle; this study instead interrogates Hamas’s intelligence success. Drawing on strategic deception, the intelligence-cycle model and asymmetric warfare scholarship, it analyses how a resource-starved non-state actor concealed intentions. Process-traced evidence from investigative reporting, declassified Israeli documents, and interviews the author conducted with Hamas’s leadership, members and analysts reveals four enabling pillars: meticulous operational security, systematic open-source and cyber intelligence collection (OSINT), insider human intelligence (HUMINT) and a professionalised intelligence apparatus shaped by decades of counter-espionage practice and external tutoring. The findings underscore adversary agency and expose the fragility of technological superiority for advanced militaries.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Intelligence and National Security<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903</a></p>2025-11-06T03:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1080/02684527.2025.2576903https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Veiled_intentions_Hamas_s_strategic_deception_and_intelligence_success_on_7_October_2023/31239559CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/312395592025-11-06T03:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 Muhanad Seloom (21875261) Human society Political science Information systems Information security management Strategic deception intelligence failure Hamas7 October 2023 asymmetric warfare counterintelligence Israel-Hamas conflict operational security |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| title_full | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| title_fullStr | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| title_short | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| title_sort | Veiled intentions: Hamas’s strategic deception and intelligence success on 7 October 2023 |
| topic | Human society Political science Information systems Information security management Strategic deception intelligence failure Hamas7 October 2023 asymmetric warfare counterintelligence Israel-Hamas conflict operational security |