COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar

<p dir="ltr">Raw municipal wastewater from five wastewater treatment plants representing the vast majority of the Qatar population was sampled between the third week of June 2020 and the end of August 2020, during the period of declining cases after the peak of the first wave of infe...

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Main Author: Jayaprakash Saththasivam (14151669) (author)
Other Authors: Shimaa S. El-Malah (16931790) (author), Tricia A. Gomez (16931793) (author), Khadeeja A. Jabbar (16931796) (author), Reshma Remanan (16931799) (author), Arun K. Krishnankutty (16931802) (author), Oluwaseun Ogunbiyi (16931805) (author), Kashif Rasool (2542492) (author), Sahel Ashhab (8708694) (author), Sergey Rashkeev (16931808) (author), Meryem Bensaad (11721386) (author), Ayeda A. Ahmed (11847025) (author), Yasmin A. Mohamoud (10671696) (author), Joel A. Malek (10327973) (author), Laith J. Abu Raddad (16931811) (author), Andrew Jeremijenko (11506565) (author), Hussein A. Abu Halaweh (16931814) (author), Jenny Lawler (16931817) (author), Khaled A. Mahmoud (572646) (author)
Published: 2021
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author Jayaprakash Saththasivam (14151669)
author2 Shimaa S. El-Malah (16931790)
Tricia A. Gomez (16931793)
Khadeeja A. Jabbar (16931796)
Reshma Remanan (16931799)
Arun K. Krishnankutty (16931802)
Oluwaseun Ogunbiyi (16931805)
Kashif Rasool (2542492)
Sahel Ashhab (8708694)
Sergey Rashkeev (16931808)
Meryem Bensaad (11721386)
Ayeda A. Ahmed (11847025)
Yasmin A. Mohamoud (10671696)
Joel A. Malek (10327973)
Laith J. Abu Raddad (16931811)
Andrew Jeremijenko (11506565)
Hussein A. Abu Halaweh (16931814)
Jenny Lawler (16931817)
Khaled A. Mahmoud (572646)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Jayaprakash Saththasivam (14151669)
Shimaa S. El-Malah (16931790)
Tricia A. Gomez (16931793)
Khadeeja A. Jabbar (16931796)
Reshma Remanan (16931799)
Arun K. Krishnankutty (16931802)
Oluwaseun Ogunbiyi (16931805)
Kashif Rasool (2542492)
Sahel Ashhab (8708694)
Sergey Rashkeev (16931808)
Meryem Bensaad (11721386)
Ayeda A. Ahmed (11847025)
Yasmin A. Mohamoud (10671696)
Joel A. Malek (10327973)
Laith J. Abu Raddad (16931811)
Andrew Jeremijenko (11506565)
Hussein A. Abu Halaweh (16931814)
Jenny Lawler (16931817)
Khaled A. Mahmoud (572646)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Jayaprakash Saththasivam (14151669)
Shimaa S. El-Malah (16931790)
Tricia A. Gomez (16931793)
Khadeeja A. Jabbar (16931796)
Reshma Remanan (16931799)
Arun K. Krishnankutty (16931802)
Oluwaseun Ogunbiyi (16931805)
Kashif Rasool (2542492)
Sahel Ashhab (8708694)
Sergey Rashkeev (16931808)
Meryem Bensaad (11721386)
Ayeda A. Ahmed (11847025)
Yasmin A. Mohamoud (10671696)
Joel A. Malek (10327973)
Laith J. Abu Raddad (16931811)
Andrew Jeremijenko (11506565)
Hussein A. Abu Halaweh (16931814)
Jenny Lawler (16931817)
Khaled A. Mahmoud (572646)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-06-20T00:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/COVID-19_SARS-CoV-2_outbreak_monitoring_using_wastewater-based_epidemiology_in_Qatar/24083184
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Environmental sciences
Environmental management
Health sciences
Epidemiology
SARS-CoV-2
COVID-19
Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE)
Outbreaks
Community
Health risks
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">Raw municipal wastewater from five wastewater treatment plants representing the vast majority of the Qatar population was sampled between the third week of June 2020 and the end of August 2020, during the period of declining cases after the peak of the first wave of infection in May 2020. The N1 region of the SARS-CoV-2 genome was used to quantify the viral load in the wastewater using RT-qPCR. The trend in Ct values in the wastewater samples mirrored the number of new daily positive cases officially reported for the country, confirmed by RT-qPCR testing of naso-pharyngeal swabs. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in 100% of the influent wastewater samples (7889 ± 1421 copy/L – 542,056 ± 25,775 copy/L, based on the N1 assay). A mathematical model for wastewater-based epidemiology was developed and used to estimate the number of people in the population infected with COVID-19 from the N1 Ct values in the wastewater samples. The estimated number of infected population on any given day using the wastewater-based epidemiology approach declined from 542,313 ± 51,159 to 31,181 ± 3081 over the course of the sampling period, which was significantly higher than the officially reported numbers. However, seroprevalence data from Qatar indicates that diagnosed infections represented only about 10% of actual cases. The model estimates were lower than the corrected numbers based on application of a static diagnosis ratio of 10% to the RT-qPCR identified cases, which is assumed to be due to the difficulty in quantifying RNA losses as a model term. However, these results indicate that the presented WBE modeling approach allows for a realistic assessment of incidence trend in a given population, with a more reliable estimation of the number of infected people at any given point in time than can be achieved using human biomonitoring alone.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Science of The Total Environment<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608</a></p>
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identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/24083184
publishDate 2021
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rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in QatarJayaprakash Saththasivam (14151669)Shimaa S. El-Malah (16931790)Tricia A. Gomez (16931793)Khadeeja A. Jabbar (16931796)Reshma Remanan (16931799)Arun K. Krishnankutty (16931802)Oluwaseun Ogunbiyi (16931805)Kashif Rasool (2542492)Sahel Ashhab (8708694)Sergey Rashkeev (16931808)Meryem Bensaad (11721386)Ayeda A. Ahmed (11847025)Yasmin A. Mohamoud (10671696)Joel A. Malek (10327973)Laith J. Abu Raddad (16931811)Andrew Jeremijenko (11506565)Hussein A. Abu Halaweh (16931814)Jenny Lawler (16931817)Khaled A. Mahmoud (572646)Environmental sciencesEnvironmental managementHealth sciencesEpidemiologySARS-CoV-2COVID-19Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE)OutbreaksCommunityHealth risks<p dir="ltr">Raw municipal wastewater from five wastewater treatment plants representing the vast majority of the Qatar population was sampled between the third week of June 2020 and the end of August 2020, during the period of declining cases after the peak of the first wave of infection in May 2020. The N1 region of the SARS-CoV-2 genome was used to quantify the viral load in the wastewater using RT-qPCR. The trend in Ct values in the wastewater samples mirrored the number of new daily positive cases officially reported for the country, confirmed by RT-qPCR testing of naso-pharyngeal swabs. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in 100% of the influent wastewater samples (7889 ± 1421 copy/L – 542,056 ± 25,775 copy/L, based on the N1 assay). A mathematical model for wastewater-based epidemiology was developed and used to estimate the number of people in the population infected with COVID-19 from the N1 Ct values in the wastewater samples. The estimated number of infected population on any given day using the wastewater-based epidemiology approach declined from 542,313 ± 51,159 to 31,181 ± 3081 over the course of the sampling period, which was significantly higher than the officially reported numbers. However, seroprevalence data from Qatar indicates that diagnosed infections represented only about 10% of actual cases. The model estimates were lower than the corrected numbers based on application of a static diagnosis ratio of 10% to the RT-qPCR identified cases, which is assumed to be due to the difficulty in quantifying RNA losses as a model term. However, these results indicate that the presented WBE modeling approach allows for a realistic assessment of incidence trend in a given population, with a more reliable estimation of the number of infected people at any given point in time than can be achieved using human biomonitoring alone.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Science of The Total Environment<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608</a></p>2021-06-20T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145608https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/COVID-19_SARS-CoV-2_outbreak_monitoring_using_wastewater-based_epidemiology_in_Qatar/24083184CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/240831842021-06-20T00:00:00Z
spellingShingle COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
Jayaprakash Saththasivam (14151669)
Environmental sciences
Environmental management
Health sciences
Epidemiology
SARS-CoV-2
COVID-19
Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE)
Outbreaks
Community
Health risks
status_str publishedVersion
title COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
title_full COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
title_fullStr COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
title_short COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
title_sort COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak monitoring using wastewater-based epidemiology in Qatar
topic Environmental sciences
Environmental management
Health sciences
Epidemiology
SARS-CoV-2
COVID-19
Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE)
Outbreaks
Community
Health risks