Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning

<p dir="ltr">Direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) has emerged as a promising technology for water desalination and treatment while offering advantages such as high energy efficiency and the adequacy to treat high-salinity feeds. However, due to complex interactions among multi...

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Main Author: Mohammed Talhami (17302756) (author)
Other Authors: Amira Alkhatib (17280616) (author), Mhd Taisir Albaba (20601071) (author), Mohamed Arselene Ayari (16869978) (author), Ali Altaee (4902520) (author), Maryam AL-Ejji (17337922) (author), Probir Das (14151690) (author), Alaa H. Hawari (14151681) (author)
Published: 2025
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author Mohammed Talhami (17302756)
author2 Amira Alkhatib (17280616)
Mhd Taisir Albaba (20601071)
Mohamed Arselene Ayari (16869978)
Ali Altaee (4902520)
Maryam AL-Ejji (17337922)
Probir Das (14151690)
Alaa H. Hawari (14151681)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Mohammed Talhami (17302756)
Amira Alkhatib (17280616)
Mhd Taisir Albaba (20601071)
Mohamed Arselene Ayari (16869978)
Ali Altaee (4902520)
Maryam AL-Ejji (17337922)
Probir Das (14151690)
Alaa H. Hawari (14151681)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Mohammed Talhami (17302756)
Amira Alkhatib (17280616)
Mhd Taisir Albaba (20601071)
Mohamed Arselene Ayari (16869978)
Ali Altaee (4902520)
Maryam AL-Ejji (17337922)
Probir Das (14151690)
Alaa H. Hawari (14151681)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-01-18T12:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Modeling_of_flat_sheet-based_direct_contact_membrane_distillation_DCMD_for_the_robust_prediction_of_permeate_flux_using_single_and_ensemble_interpretable_machine_learning/28261751
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Engineering
Environmental engineering
Information and computing sciences
Artificial intelligence
Machine learning
Desalination
Water treatment
Membrane flux
Artificial intelligence
SHAP analysis
Explainable machine learning
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">Direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) has emerged as a promising technology for water desalination and treatment while offering advantages such as high energy efficiency and the adequacy to treat high-salinity feeds. However, due to complex interactions among multiple process parameters, the accurate prediction of permeate flux, a critical performance indicator of the DCMD process, remains a challenge that numerous traditional predictive techniques fall short of achieving. Thus, for the first time, this study investigated the effectiveness of various machine learning techniques, including four single and four ensemble models, to predict the permeate flux in the DCMD process. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of 475 experimental points compiled from the literature, these models were built considering ten key process parameters, with the membrane material (PTFE or PVDF) being the sole categorical input. The performance evaluation demonstrated that the advanced ensemble models consistently outperformed the relatively simpler single models. Among all techniques, the extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model exhibited the most accurate and reliable predictions of permeate flux, confirmed by the lowest error metrics of MAE = 1.94 LMH, MAPE = 9.90 %, and RMSE = 2.59 LMH, along with the highest R<sup>2</sup> (97.33 %), on the test dataset. In addition, to overcome the limited interpretability of black-box models, the Unified Shapley Additive Explanation technique was used, and the feed temperature and feed flowrate were identified as the most influential features on the permeate flux. Additionally, a user-friendly web interface was developed for the best predictive model, providing an accessible tool to advance DCMD applications in sustainable water treatment.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Journal of Environmental Chemical Engineering<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_399ea005b15d9ea734dfbaabdf03ec09
identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/28261751
publishDate 2025
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rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learningMohammed Talhami (17302756)Amira Alkhatib (17280616)Mhd Taisir Albaba (20601071)Mohamed Arselene Ayari (16869978)Ali Altaee (4902520)Maryam AL-Ejji (17337922)Probir Das (14151690)Alaa H. Hawari (14151681)EngineeringEnvironmental engineeringInformation and computing sciencesArtificial intelligenceMachine learningDesalinationWater treatmentMembrane fluxArtificial intelligenceSHAP analysisExplainable machine learning<p dir="ltr">Direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) has emerged as a promising technology for water desalination and treatment while offering advantages such as high energy efficiency and the adequacy to treat high-salinity feeds. However, due to complex interactions among multiple process parameters, the accurate prediction of permeate flux, a critical performance indicator of the DCMD process, remains a challenge that numerous traditional predictive techniques fall short of achieving. Thus, for the first time, this study investigated the effectiveness of various machine learning techniques, including four single and four ensemble models, to predict the permeate flux in the DCMD process. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of 475 experimental points compiled from the literature, these models were built considering ten key process parameters, with the membrane material (PTFE or PVDF) being the sole categorical input. The performance evaluation demonstrated that the advanced ensemble models consistently outperformed the relatively simpler single models. Among all techniques, the extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model exhibited the most accurate and reliable predictions of permeate flux, confirmed by the lowest error metrics of MAE = 1.94 LMH, MAPE = 9.90 %, and RMSE = 2.59 LMH, along with the highest R<sup>2</sup> (97.33 %), on the test dataset. In addition, to overcome the limited interpretability of black-box models, the Unified Shapley Additive Explanation technique was used, and the feed temperature and feed flowrate were identified as the most influential features on the permeate flux. Additionally, a user-friendly web interface was developed for the best predictive model, providing an accessible tool to advance DCMD applications in sustainable water treatment.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Journal of Environmental Chemical Engineering<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463</a></p>2025-01-18T12:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.jece.2025.115463https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Modeling_of_flat_sheet-based_direct_contact_membrane_distillation_DCMD_for_the_robust_prediction_of_permeate_flux_using_single_and_ensemble_interpretable_machine_learning/28261751CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/282617512025-01-18T12:00:00Z
spellingShingle Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
Mohammed Talhami (17302756)
Engineering
Environmental engineering
Information and computing sciences
Artificial intelligence
Machine learning
Desalination
Water treatment
Membrane flux
Artificial intelligence
SHAP analysis
Explainable machine learning
status_str publishedVersion
title Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
title_full Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
title_fullStr Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
title_short Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
title_sort Modeling of flat sheet-based direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for the robust prediction of permeate flux using single and ensemble interpretable machine learning
topic Engineering
Environmental engineering
Information and computing sciences
Artificial intelligence
Machine learning
Desalination
Water treatment
Membrane flux
Artificial intelligence
SHAP analysis
Explainable machine learning