Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating

<p>Employing customer information from one of the world's largest airline companies, we develop a price elasticity model (PREM) using machine learning to identify customers likely to purchase an upgrade offer from economy to premium class and predict a customer's acceptable price ran...

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Main Author: Saravanan Thirumuruganathan (11038038) (author)
Other Authors: Noora Al Emadi (17860709) (author), Soon-gyo Jung (7434773) (author), Joni Salminen (7434770) (author), Dianne Ramirez Robillos (17860712) (author), Bernard J. Jansen (7434779) (author)
Published: 2023
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author Saravanan Thirumuruganathan (11038038)
author2 Noora Al Emadi (17860709)
Soon-gyo Jung (7434773)
Joni Salminen (7434770)
Dianne Ramirez Robillos (17860712)
Bernard J. Jansen (7434779)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Saravanan Thirumuruganathan (11038038)
Noora Al Emadi (17860709)
Soon-gyo Jung (7434773)
Joni Salminen (7434770)
Dianne Ramirez Robillos (17860712)
Bernard J. Jansen (7434779)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Saravanan Thirumuruganathan (11038038)
Noora Al Emadi (17860709)
Soon-gyo Jung (7434773)
Joni Salminen (7434770)
Dianne Ramirez Robillos (17860712)
Bernard J. Jansen (7434779)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-04-01T00:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.im.2023.103759
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Will_they_take_this_offer_A_machine_learning_price_elasticity_model_for_predicting_upselling_acceptance_of_premium_airline_seating/25097585
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Information and computing sciences
Information systems
Upselling
Price elasticity
Recommender systems
Knowledge engineering
Intelligent systems
Machine learning
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p>Employing customer information from one of the world's largest airline companies, we develop a price elasticity model (PREM) using machine learning to identify customers likely to purchase an upgrade offer from economy to premium class and predict a customer's acceptable price range. A simulation of 64.3 million flight bookings and 14.1 million email offers over three years mirroring actual data indicates that PREM implementation results in approximately 1.12 million (7.94%) fewer non-relevant customer email messages, a predicted increase of 72,200 (37.2%) offers accepted, and an estimated $72.2 million (37.2%) of increased revenue. Our results illustrate the potential of automated pricing information and targeting marketing messages for upselling acceptance. We also identified three customer segments: (1) Never Upgrades are those who never take the upgrade offer, (2) Upgrade Lovers are those who generally upgrade, and (3) Upgrade Lover Lookalikes have no historical record but fit the profile of those that tend to upgrade. We discuss the implications for airline companies and related travel and tourism industries.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Information & Management<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2023.103759" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2023.103759</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_42bc6ea76438f56ec5340285001d176b
identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.im.2023.103759
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/25097585
publishDate 2023
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seatingSaravanan Thirumuruganathan (11038038)Noora Al Emadi (17860709)Soon-gyo Jung (7434773)Joni Salminen (7434770)Dianne Ramirez Robillos (17860712)Bernard J. Jansen (7434779)Information and computing sciencesInformation systemsUpsellingPrice elasticityRecommender systemsKnowledge engineeringIntelligent systemsMachine learning<p>Employing customer information from one of the world's largest airline companies, we develop a price elasticity model (PREM) using machine learning to identify customers likely to purchase an upgrade offer from economy to premium class and predict a customer's acceptable price range. A simulation of 64.3 million flight bookings and 14.1 million email offers over three years mirroring actual data indicates that PREM implementation results in approximately 1.12 million (7.94%) fewer non-relevant customer email messages, a predicted increase of 72,200 (37.2%) offers accepted, and an estimated $72.2 million (37.2%) of increased revenue. Our results illustrate the potential of automated pricing information and targeting marketing messages for upselling acceptance. We also identified three customer segments: (1) Never Upgrades are those who never take the upgrade offer, (2) Upgrade Lovers are those who generally upgrade, and (3) Upgrade Lover Lookalikes have no historical record but fit the profile of those that tend to upgrade. We discuss the implications for airline companies and related travel and tourism industries.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Information & Management<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2023.103759" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2023.103759</a></p>2023-04-01T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.im.2023.103759https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Will_they_take_this_offer_A_machine_learning_price_elasticity_model_for_predicting_upselling_acceptance_of_premium_airline_seating/25097585CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/250975852023-04-01T00:00:00Z
spellingShingle Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
Saravanan Thirumuruganathan (11038038)
Information and computing sciences
Information systems
Upselling
Price elasticity
Recommender systems
Knowledge engineering
Intelligent systems
Machine learning
status_str publishedVersion
title Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
title_full Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
title_fullStr Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
title_full_unstemmed Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
title_short Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
title_sort Will they take this offer? A machine learning price elasticity model for predicting upselling acceptance of premium airline seating
topic Information and computing sciences
Information systems
Upselling
Price elasticity
Recommender systems
Knowledge engineering
Intelligent systems
Machine learning