Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts

<p dir="ltr">Territorial interstate disputes tend to be intractable and escalation-prone to militarized conflicts. While peace agreements are commonly used to resolve such disputes, their effectiveness depends on whether they are reinforced by complementary economic arrangements. Thi...

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Main Author: Sahar F. Yousef (23476481) (author)
Other Authors: Ian M. Sheldon (23476484) (author)
Published: 2026
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author Sahar F. Yousef (23476481)
author2 Ian M. Sheldon (23476484)
author2_role author
author_facet Sahar F. Yousef (23476481)
Ian M. Sheldon (23476484)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sahar F. Yousef (23476481)
Ian M. Sheldon (23476484)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2026-03-12T09:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Trading_peace_peace_agreements_trade_liberalization_and_integration_and_the_resolution_of_interstate_territorial_conflicts/31989423
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Economics
Applied economics
Economic theory
Human society
Political science
Peace agreements
free trade agreements
interstate territorial conflict
game theory
two-way fixed effects
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">Territorial interstate disputes tend to be intractable and escalation-prone to militarized conflicts. While peace agreements are commonly used to resolve such disputes, their effectiveness depends on whether they are reinforced by complementary economic arrangements. This article examines whether free trade agreements enhance the conflict-reducing effect of peace agreements between rival countries disputing over territories claimed as part of their homeland. We develop a game-theoretical model that integrates interstate negotiations over trade and peace with domestic political economy. The theoretical model predicts that a free trade agreement enhances the pacifying effect of a peace agreement that addresses the territorial dispute when it raises aggregate welfare and financially benefits export-oriented groups. We show strong empirical support for these predictions using panel data on dyads that experience territorial disputes over territories they claimed as part of their homeland. Nonetheless, we highlight that trade liberalization and integration alone have no pacifying effect in absence of a peace agreement. Our article contributes to the trade-conflict debate by showing that trade liberalization and integration can consolidate territorial peace, but only when they complement the resolution of the core political disputes.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Defence and Peace Economics<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv 10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/31989423
publishDate 2026
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spelling Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflictsSahar F. Yousef (23476481)Ian M. Sheldon (23476484)EconomicsApplied economicsEconomic theoryHuman societyPolitical sciencePeace agreementsfree trade agreementsinterstate territorial conflictgame theorytwo-way fixed effects<p dir="ltr">Territorial interstate disputes tend to be intractable and escalation-prone to militarized conflicts. While peace agreements are commonly used to resolve such disputes, their effectiveness depends on whether they are reinforced by complementary economic arrangements. This article examines whether free trade agreements enhance the conflict-reducing effect of peace agreements between rival countries disputing over territories claimed as part of their homeland. We develop a game-theoretical model that integrates interstate negotiations over trade and peace with domestic political economy. The theoretical model predicts that a free trade agreement enhances the pacifying effect of a peace agreement that addresses the territorial dispute when it raises aggregate welfare and financially benefits export-oriented groups. We show strong empirical support for these predictions using panel data on dyads that experience territorial disputes over territories they claimed as part of their homeland. Nonetheless, we highlight that trade liberalization and integration alone have no pacifying effect in absence of a peace agreement. Our article contributes to the trade-conflict debate by showing that trade liberalization and integration can consolidate territorial peace, but only when they complement the resolution of the core political disputes.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Defence and Peace Economics<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592</a></p>2026-03-12T09:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1080/10242694.2026.2638592https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Trading_peace_peace_agreements_trade_liberalization_and_integration_and_the_resolution_of_interstate_territorial_conflicts/31989423CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/319894232026-03-12T09:00:00Z
spellingShingle Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
Sahar F. Yousef (23476481)
Economics
Applied economics
Economic theory
Human society
Political science
Peace agreements
free trade agreements
interstate territorial conflict
game theory
two-way fixed effects
status_str publishedVersion
title Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
title_full Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
title_fullStr Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
title_full_unstemmed Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
title_short Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
title_sort Trading peace: peace agreements, trade liberalization and integration, and the resolution of interstate territorial conflicts
topic Economics
Applied economics
Economic theory
Human society
Political science
Peace agreements
free trade agreements
interstate territorial conflict
game theory
two-way fixed effects