Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests
<h3>Aim:</h3><p dir="ltr">Generate fire susceptibility maps for the present and 2070, to identify the threat wildfires pose to koalas now and under future climate change.</p><p><br></p><h3>Location:</h3><p dir="ltr">Aust...
محفوظ في:
| المؤلف الرئيسي: | |
|---|---|
| مؤلفون آخرون: | , , , , , , , , , , |
| منشور في: |
2023
|
| الموضوعات: | |
| الوسوم: |
إضافة وسم
لا توجد وسوم, كن أول من يضع وسما على هذه التسجيلة!
|
| _version_ | 1864513529409699840 |
|---|---|
| author | Farzin Shabani (302023) |
| author2 | Mahyat Shafapourtehrany (17824082) Mohsen Ahmadi (633584) Bahareh Kalantar (17824085) Haluk Özener (17824088) Kieran Clancy (12630916) Atefeh Esmaeili (462337) Ricardo Siqueira da Silva (17824091) Linda J. Beaumont (8447178) John Llewelyn (3286107) Simon Jones (26390) Alessandro Ossola (6554807) |
| author2_role | author author author author author author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Farzin Shabani (302023) Mahyat Shafapourtehrany (17824082) Mohsen Ahmadi (633584) Bahareh Kalantar (17824085) Haluk Özener (17824088) Kieran Clancy (12630916) Atefeh Esmaeili (462337) Ricardo Siqueira da Silva (17824091) Linda J. Beaumont (8447178) John Llewelyn (3286107) Simon Jones (26390) Alessandro Ossola (6554807) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Farzin Shabani (302023) Mahyat Shafapourtehrany (17824082) Mohsen Ahmadi (633584) Bahareh Kalantar (17824085) Haluk Özener (17824088) Kieran Clancy (12630916) Atefeh Esmaeili (462337) Ricardo Siqueira da Silva (17824091) Linda J. Beaumont (8447178) John Llewelyn (3286107) Simon Jones (26390) Alessandro Ossola (6554807) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-11-01T00:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Habitat_in_flames_How_climate_change_will_affect_fire_risk_across_koala_forests/25039961 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Biological sciences Plant biology Environmental sciences Soil sciences Climate change 60 main tree species browsed by koalas Decision Tree machine learning algorithm Fire |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <h3>Aim:</h3><p dir="ltr">Generate fire susceptibility maps for the present and 2070, to identify the threat wildfires pose to koalas now and under future climate change.</p><p><br></p><h3>Location:</h3><p dir="ltr">Australia.</p><p><br></p><h3>Time period:</h3><p dir="ltr">Present and 2070.</p><p><br></p><h3>Major taxa studied:</h3><p dir="ltr">60 main tree species browsed by koalas.</p><p><br></p><h3>Method:</h3><p dir="ltr">The Decision Tree machine learning algorithm was applied to generate a fire susceptibility index (a measure of the potential for a given area or region to experience wildfires) using a dataset of conditioning factors, namely: altitude, aspect, rainfall, distance from rivers, distance from roads, forest type, geology, koala presence and future dietary sources, land use-land cover (LULC), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), slope, soil, temperature, and wind speed.</p><p><br></p><h3>Results:</h3><p dir="ltr">We found a general increase in susceptibility of Australian vegetation to bushfires overall. The simulation for current conditions indicated that 39.56% of total koala habitat has a fire susceptibility rating of “very high” or “high”, increasing to 44.61% by 2070.</p><p><br></p><h3>Main conclusions:</h3><p dir="ltr">Wildfires will increasingly impact koala populations in the future. If this iconic and vulnerable marsupial is to be protected, conservation strategies need to be adapted to deal with this threat. It is crucial to strike a balance between ensuring that koala habitats and populations are not completely destroyed by fire while also allowing for forest rejuvenation and regeneration through periodic burns.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Environmental Technology & Innovation<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_5ccfd246fe650092e821fd23adc3eb17 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/25039961 |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forestsFarzin Shabani (302023)Mahyat Shafapourtehrany (17824082)Mohsen Ahmadi (633584)Bahareh Kalantar (17824085)Haluk Özener (17824088)Kieran Clancy (12630916)Atefeh Esmaeili (462337)Ricardo Siqueira da Silva (17824091)Linda J. Beaumont (8447178)John Llewelyn (3286107)Simon Jones (26390)Alessandro Ossola (6554807)Biological sciencesPlant biologyEnvironmental sciencesSoil sciencesClimate change60 main tree species browsed by koalasDecision Tree machine learning algorithmFire<h3>Aim:</h3><p dir="ltr">Generate fire susceptibility maps for the present and 2070, to identify the threat wildfires pose to koalas now and under future climate change.</p><p><br></p><h3>Location:</h3><p dir="ltr">Australia.</p><p><br></p><h3>Time period:</h3><p dir="ltr">Present and 2070.</p><p><br></p><h3>Major taxa studied:</h3><p dir="ltr">60 main tree species browsed by koalas.</p><p><br></p><h3>Method:</h3><p dir="ltr">The Decision Tree machine learning algorithm was applied to generate a fire susceptibility index (a measure of the potential for a given area or region to experience wildfires) using a dataset of conditioning factors, namely: altitude, aspect, rainfall, distance from rivers, distance from roads, forest type, geology, koala presence and future dietary sources, land use-land cover (LULC), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), slope, soil, temperature, and wind speed.</p><p><br></p><h3>Results:</h3><p dir="ltr">We found a general increase in susceptibility of Australian vegetation to bushfires overall. The simulation for current conditions indicated that 39.56% of total koala habitat has a fire susceptibility rating of “very high” or “high”, increasing to 44.61% by 2070.</p><p><br></p><h3>Main conclusions:</h3><p dir="ltr">Wildfires will increasingly impact koala populations in the future. If this iconic and vulnerable marsupial is to be protected, conservation strategies need to be adapted to deal with this threat. It is crucial to strike a balance between ensuring that koala habitats and populations are not completely destroyed by fire while also allowing for forest rejuvenation and regeneration through periodic burns.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Environmental Technology & Innovation<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331</a></p>2023-11-01T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Habitat_in_flames_How_climate_change_will_affect_fire_risk_across_koala_forests/25039961CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/250399612023-11-01T00:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests Farzin Shabani (302023) Biological sciences Plant biology Environmental sciences Soil sciences Climate change 60 main tree species browsed by koalas Decision Tree machine learning algorithm Fire |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| title_full | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| title_fullStr | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| title_full_unstemmed | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| title_short | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| title_sort | Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests |
| topic | Biological sciences Plant biology Environmental sciences Soil sciences Climate change 60 main tree species browsed by koalas Decision Tree machine learning algorithm Fire |