An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan

<p dir="ltr">Assessing and effectively optimizing wind power potential for a wind site demands accurate calculation of Weibull parameters. In this research, we have ameliorated the performance of the recently-introduced novel energy pattern factor method (NEPFM) via a direct search a...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Ghulam Abbas (764241) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Arshad Ali (638656) (author), Faizan Rashid (17541690) (author), Naveed Ashraf (21399884) (author), Zohaib Mushtaq (21399887) (author), Muhammad Zubair (728141) (author)
منشور في: 2024
الموضوعات:
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
لا توجد وسوم, كن أول من يضع وسما على هذه التسجيلة!
_version_ 1864513543160725504
author Ghulam Abbas (764241)
author2 Arshad Ali (638656)
Faizan Rashid (17541690)
Naveed Ashraf (21399884)
Zohaib Mushtaq (21399887)
Muhammad Zubair (728141)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Ghulam Abbas (764241)
Arshad Ali (638656)
Faizan Rashid (17541690)
Naveed Ashraf (21399884)
Zohaib Mushtaq (21399887)
Muhammad Zubair (728141)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Ghulam Abbas (764241)
Arshad Ali (638656)
Faizan Rashid (17541690)
Naveed Ashraf (21399884)
Zohaib Mushtaq (21399887)
Muhammad Zubair (728141)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-12-31T06:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1109/access.2024.3524445
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/An_Optimal_Approach_for_Assessing_Weibull_Parameters_and_Wind_Power_Potential_for_Six_Coastal_Cities_in_Pakistan/29605199
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Earth sciences
Physical geography and environmental geoscience
Engineering
Electrical engineering
Environmental engineering
Mathematical sciences
Applied mathematics
Numerical and computational mathematics
Statistics
NEPFM-SSA
NEPFM
Weibull parameters
Statistical indicators
Wind power density
Wind data
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">Assessing and effectively optimizing wind power potential for a wind site demands accurate calculation of Weibull parameters. In this research, we have ameliorated the performance of the recently-introduced novel energy pattern factor method (NEPFM) via a direct search algorithm, i.e., simplex search algorithm (SSA). We designate the resulting algorithm as NEPFM-SSA as it took NEPFM’s Weibull distribution parameters as an initial guess and retuned them with the help of the simplex search algorithm to get updated Weibull distribution parameters, which ensure better fitting characteristics. When applied to wind speed data collected from six coastal cities in Pakistan: Gwadar, Jiwani, Karachi, Ormara, Pasni, and Sonmiani Bay, NEPFM exhibited poor fitting characteristics to the observed wind data. Four statistical indicators, namely root mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and coefficient of efficiency, are taken into consideration to measure the accuracy offered by NEPFM-SSA and NEPFM. An enormous reduction in wind power density-based percentage error (for example, 15.3531% than 51.7205% for Gwadar at 10 m height) was observed in NEPFM-SSA compared to NEPFM. The numerical results reveal that NEPFM-SSA outshined NEPFM for all the cases under consideration, authenticating its workability. This increased accuracy results in improving the reliability of assessments of wind energy and the wider operation of wind energy installations. The MATLAB environment was used to achieve numerical results. The proposed NEPFM-SSA approach may be treated as the first choice to determine Weibull distribution parameters and wind power density for the considered wind sites rather than NEPFM.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: IEEE Access<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3524445" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3524445</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_6b800c14bcbfb183f5496f85d8eb330a
identifier_str_mv 10.1109/access.2024.3524445
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/29605199
publishDate 2024
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository_id_str
rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in PakistanGhulam Abbas (764241)Arshad Ali (638656)Faizan Rashid (17541690)Naveed Ashraf (21399884)Zohaib Mushtaq (21399887)Muhammad Zubair (728141)Earth sciencesPhysical geography and environmental geoscienceEngineeringElectrical engineeringEnvironmental engineeringMathematical sciencesApplied mathematicsNumerical and computational mathematicsStatisticsNEPFM-SSANEPFMWeibull parametersStatistical indicatorsWind power densityWind data<p dir="ltr">Assessing and effectively optimizing wind power potential for a wind site demands accurate calculation of Weibull parameters. In this research, we have ameliorated the performance of the recently-introduced novel energy pattern factor method (NEPFM) via a direct search algorithm, i.e., simplex search algorithm (SSA). We designate the resulting algorithm as NEPFM-SSA as it took NEPFM’s Weibull distribution parameters as an initial guess and retuned them with the help of the simplex search algorithm to get updated Weibull distribution parameters, which ensure better fitting characteristics. When applied to wind speed data collected from six coastal cities in Pakistan: Gwadar, Jiwani, Karachi, Ormara, Pasni, and Sonmiani Bay, NEPFM exhibited poor fitting characteristics to the observed wind data. Four statistical indicators, namely root mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and coefficient of efficiency, are taken into consideration to measure the accuracy offered by NEPFM-SSA and NEPFM. An enormous reduction in wind power density-based percentage error (for example, 15.3531% than 51.7205% for Gwadar at 10 m height) was observed in NEPFM-SSA compared to NEPFM. The numerical results reveal that NEPFM-SSA outshined NEPFM for all the cases under consideration, authenticating its workability. This increased accuracy results in improving the reliability of assessments of wind energy and the wider operation of wind energy installations. The MATLAB environment was used to achieve numerical results. The proposed NEPFM-SSA approach may be treated as the first choice to determine Weibull distribution parameters and wind power density for the considered wind sites rather than NEPFM.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: IEEE Access<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3524445" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3524445</a></p>2024-12-31T06:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1109/access.2024.3524445https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/An_Optimal_Approach_for_Assessing_Weibull_Parameters_and_Wind_Power_Potential_for_Six_Coastal_Cities_in_Pakistan/29605199CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/296051992024-12-31T06:00:00Z
spellingShingle An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
Ghulam Abbas (764241)
Earth sciences
Physical geography and environmental geoscience
Engineering
Electrical engineering
Environmental engineering
Mathematical sciences
Applied mathematics
Numerical and computational mathematics
Statistics
NEPFM-SSA
NEPFM
Weibull parameters
Statistical indicators
Wind power density
Wind data
status_str publishedVersion
title An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
title_full An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
title_fullStr An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
title_short An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
title_sort An Optimal Approach for Assessing Weibull Parameters and Wind Power Potential for Six Coastal Cities in Pakistan
topic Earth sciences
Physical geography and environmental geoscience
Engineering
Electrical engineering
Environmental engineering
Mathematical sciences
Applied mathematics
Numerical and computational mathematics
Statistics
NEPFM-SSA
NEPFM
Weibull parameters
Statistical indicators
Wind power density
Wind data