A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty

<p dir="ltr">This study examines how authoritarian regimes design social policies during crises, emphasizing how distinct forms of uncertainty shape policy instruments and governance strategies. Introducing a typology of uncertainty; relational, epistemic, legitimacy-driven, and stru...

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Main Author: Anis Ben Brik (17413672) (author)
Published: 2025
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author Anis Ben Brik (17413672)
author_facet Anis Ben Brik (17413672)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Anis Ben Brik (17413672)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-11-01T00:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/A_typology_of_authoritarian_social_policy_design_under_uncertainty/31169521
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Human society
Policy and administration
Political science
Law and legal studies
International and comparative law
Authoritarian regimes
control
legimacy
policy design
uncertainty
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">This study examines how authoritarian regimes design social policies during crises, emphasizing how distinct forms of uncertainty shape policy instruments and governance strategies. Introducing a typology of uncertainty; relational, epistemic, legitimacy-driven, and structural, this study analyzes how regimes balance centralized authority and perceived legitimacy. The findings reveal that authoritarian policy design operates according to distinct logic where regime stability systematically outweighs technical problem-solving considerations. Egypt high epistemic uncertainty drove information control strategies combining censorship with selective welfare provision. Iran structural uncertainty resulted in improvised governance arrangements blending formal state mechanisms with informal networks. Tunisia relational uncertainty prompted emulation strategies balancing responsiveness with enhanced surveillance. Jordan legitimacy-driven uncertainty led to robust redundancy approaches using overlapping welfare programs to maintain domestic support. The study demonstrates that authoritarian regimes strategically select from authority-based, treasure-based, nodality-based, and organization-based instruments based on their specific uncertainty profile, with policy choices reflecting calculated tradeoffs between control maintenance and legitimacy preservation rather than optimal problem resolution. These patterns challenge democratic-centric policy design theories and reveal how authoritarian adaptability often comes at the expense of democratic governance through crisis-justified surveillance expansion, patronage network reinforcement, and civic mobilization prevention. The REeLS framework provides scholars and practitioners with analytical tools to decode authoritarian policy architectures and anticipate regime responses to emerging crises, contributing to comparative policy design theory that accounts for diverse governance realities in our multipolar world.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Policy Design and Practice<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114</a></p>
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identifier_str_mv 10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114
network_acronym_str Manara2
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oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/31169521
publishDate 2025
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spelling A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertaintyAnis Ben Brik (17413672)Human societyPolicy and administrationPolitical scienceLaw and legal studiesInternational and comparative lawAuthoritarian regimescontrollegimacypolicy designuncertainty<p dir="ltr">This study examines how authoritarian regimes design social policies during crises, emphasizing how distinct forms of uncertainty shape policy instruments and governance strategies. Introducing a typology of uncertainty; relational, epistemic, legitimacy-driven, and structural, this study analyzes how regimes balance centralized authority and perceived legitimacy. The findings reveal that authoritarian policy design operates according to distinct logic where regime stability systematically outweighs technical problem-solving considerations. Egypt high epistemic uncertainty drove information control strategies combining censorship with selective welfare provision. Iran structural uncertainty resulted in improvised governance arrangements blending formal state mechanisms with informal networks. Tunisia relational uncertainty prompted emulation strategies balancing responsiveness with enhanced surveillance. Jordan legitimacy-driven uncertainty led to robust redundancy approaches using overlapping welfare programs to maintain domestic support. The study demonstrates that authoritarian regimes strategically select from authority-based, treasure-based, nodality-based, and organization-based instruments based on their specific uncertainty profile, with policy choices reflecting calculated tradeoffs between control maintenance and legitimacy preservation rather than optimal problem resolution. These patterns challenge democratic-centric policy design theories and reveal how authoritarian adaptability often comes at the expense of democratic governance through crisis-justified surveillance expansion, patronage network reinforcement, and civic mobilization prevention. The REeLS framework provides scholars and practitioners with analytical tools to decode authoritarian policy architectures and anticipate regime responses to emerging crises, contributing to comparative policy design theory that accounts for diverse governance realities in our multipolar world.</p><h2 dir="ltr">Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Policy Design and Practice<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114</a></p>2025-11-01T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1080/25741292.2025.2574114https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/A_typology_of_authoritarian_social_policy_design_under_uncertainty/31169521CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/311695212025-11-01T00:00:00Z
spellingShingle A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
Anis Ben Brik (17413672)
Human society
Policy and administration
Political science
Law and legal studies
International and comparative law
Authoritarian regimes
control
legimacy
policy design
uncertainty
status_str publishedVersion
title A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
title_full A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
title_fullStr A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
title_short A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
title_sort A typology of authoritarian social policy design under uncertainty
topic Human society
Policy and administration
Political science
Law and legal studies
International and comparative law
Authoritarian regimes
control
legimacy
policy design
uncertainty