Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data

<p dir="ltr">In times of crisis, real‐time data mapping population displacements are invaluable for targeted humanitarian response. The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, forcibly displaced millions of people from their homes including nearly 6 million refugees flowing...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Douglas R. Leasure (4533181) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Ridhi Kashyap (7371500) (author), Francesco Rampazzo (10642768) (author), Claire A. Dooley (2909681) (author), Benjamin Elbers (10092426) (author), Maksym Bondarenko (6851540) (author), Mark Verhagen (19482442) (author), Arun Frey (11644030) (author), Jiani Yan (19482445) (author), Evelina T. Akimova (19482448) (author), Masoomali Fatehkia (6294026) (author), Robert Trigwell (19482451) (author), Andrew J. Tatem (7417688) (author), Ingmar Weber (149886) (author), Melinda C. Mills (7911158) (author)
منشور في: 2023
الموضوعات:
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
لا توجد وسوم, كن أول من يضع وسما على هذه التسجيلة!
_version_ 1864513507092856832
author Douglas R. Leasure (4533181)
author2 Ridhi Kashyap (7371500)
Francesco Rampazzo (10642768)
Claire A. Dooley (2909681)
Benjamin Elbers (10092426)
Maksym Bondarenko (6851540)
Mark Verhagen (19482442)
Arun Frey (11644030)
Jiani Yan (19482445)
Evelina T. Akimova (19482448)
Masoomali Fatehkia (6294026)
Robert Trigwell (19482451)
Andrew J. Tatem (7417688)
Ingmar Weber (149886)
Melinda C. Mills (7911158)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Douglas R. Leasure (4533181)
Ridhi Kashyap (7371500)
Francesco Rampazzo (10642768)
Claire A. Dooley (2909681)
Benjamin Elbers (10092426)
Maksym Bondarenko (6851540)
Mark Verhagen (19482442)
Arun Frey (11644030)
Jiani Yan (19482445)
Evelina T. Akimova (19482448)
Masoomali Fatehkia (6294026)
Robert Trigwell (19482451)
Andrew J. Tatem (7417688)
Ingmar Weber (149886)
Melinda C. Mills (7911158)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Douglas R. Leasure (4533181)
Ridhi Kashyap (7371500)
Francesco Rampazzo (10642768)
Claire A. Dooley (2909681)
Benjamin Elbers (10092426)
Maksym Bondarenko (6851540)
Mark Verhagen (19482442)
Arun Frey (11644030)
Jiani Yan (19482445)
Evelina T. Akimova (19482448)
Masoomali Fatehkia (6294026)
Robert Trigwell (19482451)
Andrew J. Tatem (7417688)
Ingmar Weber (149886)
Melinda C. Mills (7911158)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-04-01T00:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1111/padr.12558
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Nowcasting_Daily_Population_Displacement_in_Ukraine_through_Social_Media_Advertising_Data/26830216
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Human society
Human geography
Information and computing sciences
Data management and data science
Human-centred computing
Population Displacement
Real-Time Data Mapping
Humanitarian Response Social Media Data
Internal Displacement
Refugee Tracking
Conflict-Related Migration
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p dir="ltr">In times of crisis, real‐time data mapping population displacements are invaluable for targeted humanitarian response. The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, forcibly displaced millions of people from their homes including nearly 6 million refugees flowing across the border in just a few weeks, but information was scarce regarding displaced and vulnerable populations who remained inside Ukraine. We leveraged social media data from Facebook's advertising platform in combination with preconflict population data to build a real‐time monitoring system to estimate subnational population sizes every day disaggregated by age and sex. Using this approach, we estimated that 5.3 million people had been internally displaced away from their baseline administrative region in the first three weeks after the start of the conflict. Results revealed four distinct displacement patterns: large‐scale evacuations, refugee staging areas, internal areas of refuge, and irregular dynamics. While the use of social media provided one of the only quantitative estimates of internal displacement in the conflict setting in virtual real time, we conclude by acknowledging risks and challenges of these new data streams for the future.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Population and Development Review<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/padr.12558" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/padr.12558</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_79b3a01fbb0ca5bb7d3a17ef61154831
identifier_str_mv 10.1111/padr.12558
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/26830216
publishDate 2023
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository_id_str
rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising DataDouglas R. Leasure (4533181)Ridhi Kashyap (7371500)Francesco Rampazzo (10642768)Claire A. Dooley (2909681)Benjamin Elbers (10092426)Maksym Bondarenko (6851540)Mark Verhagen (19482442)Arun Frey (11644030)Jiani Yan (19482445)Evelina T. Akimova (19482448)Masoomali Fatehkia (6294026)Robert Trigwell (19482451)Andrew J. Tatem (7417688)Ingmar Weber (149886)Melinda C. Mills (7911158)Human societyHuman geographyInformation and computing sciencesData management and data scienceHuman-centred computingPopulation DisplacementReal-Time Data MappingHumanitarian Response Social Media DataInternal DisplacementRefugee TrackingConflict-Related Migration<p dir="ltr">In times of crisis, real‐time data mapping population displacements are invaluable for targeted humanitarian response. The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, forcibly displaced millions of people from their homes including nearly 6 million refugees flowing across the border in just a few weeks, but information was scarce regarding displaced and vulnerable populations who remained inside Ukraine. We leveraged social media data from Facebook's advertising platform in combination with preconflict population data to build a real‐time monitoring system to estimate subnational population sizes every day disaggregated by age and sex. Using this approach, we estimated that 5.3 million people had been internally displaced away from their baseline administrative region in the first three weeks after the start of the conflict. Results revealed four distinct displacement patterns: large‐scale evacuations, refugee staging areas, internal areas of refuge, and irregular dynamics. While the use of social media provided one of the only quantitative estimates of internal displacement in the conflict setting in virtual real time, we conclude by acknowledging risks and challenges of these new data streams for the future.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Population and Development Review<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/padr.12558" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/padr.12558</a></p>2023-04-01T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1111/padr.12558https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Nowcasting_Daily_Population_Displacement_in_Ukraine_through_Social_Media_Advertising_Data/26830216CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/268302162023-04-01T00:00:00Z
spellingShingle Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
Douglas R. Leasure (4533181)
Human society
Human geography
Information and computing sciences
Data management and data science
Human-centred computing
Population Displacement
Real-Time Data Mapping
Humanitarian Response Social Media Data
Internal Displacement
Refugee Tracking
Conflict-Related Migration
status_str publishedVersion
title Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
title_full Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
title_fullStr Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
title_full_unstemmed Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
title_short Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
title_sort Nowcasting Daily Population Displacement in Ukraine through Social Media Advertising Data
topic Human society
Human geography
Information and computing sciences
Data management and data science
Human-centred computing
Population Displacement
Real-Time Data Mapping
Humanitarian Response Social Media Data
Internal Displacement
Refugee Tracking
Conflict-Related Migration