Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar

<p>The economies of fossil fuel exporters are threatened by global efforts to transition away from using unabated fossil fuels. Producing clean hydrogen, for export or domestic use in manufacturing, provides a potentially major opportunity to continue exploiting their fossil fuel resources. Ho...

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محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Carlos Méndez (88102) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Marcello Contestabile (16959984) (author)
منشور في: 2025
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author Carlos Méndez (88102)
author2 Marcello Contestabile (16959984)
author2_role author
author_facet Carlos Méndez (88102)
Marcello Contestabile (16959984)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Carlos Méndez (88102)
Marcello Contestabile (16959984)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-03-19T00:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Developing_hydrogen_strategies_for_fossil_fuel_exporting_countries_under_uncertainty_The_case_of_Qatar/30405394
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Economics
Applied economics
Engineering
Resources engineering and extractive metallurgy
Hydrogen strategy
Scenario-based analysis
Hydrogen market
Clean hydrogen
Decision-making under uncertainty
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p>The economies of fossil fuel exporters are threatened by global efforts to transition away from using unabated fossil fuels. Producing clean hydrogen, for export or domestic use in manufacturing, provides a potentially major opportunity to continue exploiting their fossil fuel resources. However, the substantial uncertainties affecting the future of clean hydrogen make developing hydrogen strategies complex. This paper characterizes such uncertainties and conducts an initial assessment of possible investment risks and critical decisions associated with different strategies in the case of Qatar, a leading exporter of natural gas. We find that strategies mostly focused on using clean hydrogen domestically to produce clean commodities are relatively low risk; inversely, becoming a leading exporter of clean hydrogen substantially increases investment risks. Also, irrespective of the strategy, higher investment is required in the early years, suggesting that, once a strategy is chosen, changing path may prove difficult.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_80a06b0c9c8e6cb8eb7685e1024c80bc
identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108
network_acronym_str Manara2
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oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/30405394
publishDate 2025
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spelling Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of QatarCarlos Méndez (88102)Marcello Contestabile (16959984)EconomicsApplied economicsEngineeringResources engineering and extractive metallurgyHydrogen strategyScenario-based analysisHydrogen marketClean hydrogenDecision-making under uncertainty<p>The economies of fossil fuel exporters are threatened by global efforts to transition away from using unabated fossil fuels. Producing clean hydrogen, for export or domestic use in manufacturing, provides a potentially major opportunity to continue exploiting their fossil fuel resources. However, the substantial uncertainties affecting the future of clean hydrogen make developing hydrogen strategies complex. This paper characterizes such uncertainties and conducts an initial assessment of possible investment risks and critical decisions associated with different strategies in the case of Qatar, a leading exporter of natural gas. We find that strategies mostly focused on using clean hydrogen domestically to produce clean commodities are relatively low risk; inversely, becoming a leading exporter of clean hydrogen substantially increases investment risks. Also, irrespective of the strategy, higher investment is required in the early years, suggesting that, once a strategy is chosen, changing path may prove difficult.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108</a></p>2025-03-19T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.rset.2025.100108https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Developing_hydrogen_strategies_for_fossil_fuel_exporting_countries_under_uncertainty_The_case_of_Qatar/30405394CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/304053942025-03-19T00:00:00Z
spellingShingle Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
Carlos Méndez (88102)
Economics
Applied economics
Engineering
Resources engineering and extractive metallurgy
Hydrogen strategy
Scenario-based analysis
Hydrogen market
Clean hydrogen
Decision-making under uncertainty
status_str publishedVersion
title Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
title_full Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
title_fullStr Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
title_full_unstemmed Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
title_short Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
title_sort Developing hydrogen strategies for fossil fuel exporting countries under uncertainty: The case of Qatar
topic Economics
Applied economics
Engineering
Resources engineering and extractive metallurgy
Hydrogen strategy
Scenario-based analysis
Hydrogen market
Clean hydrogen
Decision-making under uncertainty