Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)

<p>Climate change significantly impacts local, regional, and global vegetation changes. These changes have continued to threaten ecosystems, especially in dryland areas where moisture is scarce, and the livelihoods of rural communities are at risk because of such changes, as well as their capa...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Mohammad Hadi Ahmad (17632248) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Ahmed Abubakar (8827392) (author), Mohd Yusoff Ishak (17632251) (author), Samir Shehu Danhassan (17632254) (author), Zhang Jiahua (17632257) (author), Juha M. Alatalo (2931234) (author)
منشور في: 2023
الموضوعات:
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
لا توجد وسوم, كن أول من يضع وسما على هذه التسجيلة!
_version_ 1864513531067498496
author Mohammad Hadi Ahmad (17632248)
author2 Ahmed Abubakar (8827392)
Mohd Yusoff Ishak (17632251)
Samir Shehu Danhassan (17632254)
Zhang Jiahua (17632257)
Juha M. Alatalo (2931234)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Mohammad Hadi Ahmad (17632248)
Ahmed Abubakar (8827392)
Mohd Yusoff Ishak (17632251)
Samir Shehu Danhassan (17632254)
Zhang Jiahua (17632257)
Juha M. Alatalo (2931234)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Mohammad Hadi Ahmad (17632248)
Ahmed Abubakar (8827392)
Mohd Yusoff Ishak (17632251)
Samir Shehu Danhassan (17632254)
Zhang Jiahua (17632257)
Juha M. Alatalo (2931234)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-11-01T15:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Modeling_the_influence_of_daily_temperature_and_precipitation_extreme_indices_on_vegetation_dynamics_in_Katsina_State_using_statistical_downscaling_model_SDM_/24805206
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Biological sciences
Ecology
Earth sciences
Atmospheric sciences
Climate change science
Engineering
Geomatic engineering
Environmental sciences
Climate change impacts and adaptation
Vegetation
Precipitation
Maximum temperature
Minimum temperature
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p>Climate change significantly impacts local, regional, and global vegetation changes. These changes have continued to threaten ecosystems, especially in dryland areas where moisture is scarce, and the livelihoods of rural communities are at risk because of such changes, as well as their capacity to provide outputs and sustain the livelihoods of rural communities. This study aims to derive a simulation model of vegetation conditions concerning daily temperature and extreme precipitation indices in Katsina State, Nigeria. This study uses remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS)-based analysis, time series analysis of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, and twenty-four indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection to evaluate the influence of Temp and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics/NDVI. The results indicate that the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) is performing satisfactorily in predicting maximum and minimum temperatures, along with precipitation, for the time horizon of the simulation. Mean precipitation of 1.98 mm (RCP2.6), 2.03 mm (RCP4.5), and 2.07 mm (RCP8.5) was revealed in the study area. Tmax and Tmin were projected under low emissions at 20.1 0C and 14.25 0C (RCP2.6), 20.13 °C and 14.26 0C (RCP4.5), and 20.15 0C and 14.27 0C (RCP8.5) respectively. All the scenarios present increasing minimum and maximum temperatures and decreasing precipitation, except for RCP8.5, which predicted a more adverse trend. However, in Katsina State, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), precipitation, Tmax, and Tmin, extreme temperature and precipitation indices, and drought indices successfully demonstrated spatial and temporal variability.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Ecological Indicators<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_8ce89c31240aa21350a7d91c778f0c60
identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/24805206
publishDate 2023
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository_id_str
rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)Mohammad Hadi Ahmad (17632248)Ahmed Abubakar (8827392)Mohd Yusoff Ishak (17632251)Samir Shehu Danhassan (17632254)Zhang Jiahua (17632257)Juha M. Alatalo (2931234)Biological sciencesEcologyEarth sciencesAtmospheric sciencesClimate change scienceEngineeringGeomatic engineeringEnvironmental sciencesClimate change impacts and adaptationVegetationPrecipitationMaximum temperatureMinimum temperature<p>Climate change significantly impacts local, regional, and global vegetation changes. These changes have continued to threaten ecosystems, especially in dryland areas where moisture is scarce, and the livelihoods of rural communities are at risk because of such changes, as well as their capacity to provide outputs and sustain the livelihoods of rural communities. This study aims to derive a simulation model of vegetation conditions concerning daily temperature and extreme precipitation indices in Katsina State, Nigeria. This study uses remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS)-based analysis, time series analysis of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, and twenty-four indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection to evaluate the influence of Temp and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics/NDVI. The results indicate that the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) is performing satisfactorily in predicting maximum and minimum temperatures, along with precipitation, for the time horizon of the simulation. Mean precipitation of 1.98 mm (RCP2.6), 2.03 mm (RCP4.5), and 2.07 mm (RCP8.5) was revealed in the study area. Tmax and Tmin were projected under low emissions at 20.1 0C and 14.25 0C (RCP2.6), 20.13 °C and 14.26 0C (RCP4.5), and 20.15 0C and 14.27 0C (RCP8.5) respectively. All the scenarios present increasing minimum and maximum temperatures and decreasing precipitation, except for RCP8.5, which predicted a more adverse trend. However, in Katsina State, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), precipitation, Tmax, and Tmin, extreme temperature and precipitation indices, and drought indices successfully demonstrated spatial and temporal variability.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Ecological Indicators<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979</a></p>2023-11-01T15:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Modeling_the_influence_of_daily_temperature_and_precipitation_extreme_indices_on_vegetation_dynamics_in_Katsina_State_using_statistical_downscaling_model_SDM_/24805206CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/248052062023-11-01T15:00:00Z
spellingShingle Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
Mohammad Hadi Ahmad (17632248)
Biological sciences
Ecology
Earth sciences
Atmospheric sciences
Climate change science
Engineering
Geomatic engineering
Environmental sciences
Climate change impacts and adaptation
Vegetation
Precipitation
Maximum temperature
Minimum temperature
status_str publishedVersion
title Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_full Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_fullStr Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_short Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_sort Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
topic Biological sciences
Ecology
Earth sciences
Atmospheric sciences
Climate change science
Engineering
Geomatic engineering
Environmental sciences
Climate change impacts and adaptation
Vegetation
Precipitation
Maximum temperature
Minimum temperature