Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model
<p>Forecasting of energy consumption in Smart Buildings (SB) and using the extracted information to plan and operate power generation are crucial elements of the Smart Grid (SG) energy management. Prediction of electrical loads and scheduling the generation resources to match the demand enable...
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| مؤلفون آخرون: | , , |
| منشور في: |
2021
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| _version_ | 1864513562720862208 |
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| author | Dabeeruddin Syed (16864260) |
| author2 | Haitham Abu-Rub (16855500) Ali Ghrayeb (16864266) Shady S. Refaat (16864269) |
| author2_role | author author author |
| author_facet | Dabeeruddin Syed (16864260) Haitham Abu-Rub (16855500) Ali Ghrayeb (16864266) Shady S. Refaat (16864269) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Dabeeruddin Syed (16864260) Haitham Abu-Rub (16855500) Ali Ghrayeb (16864266) Shady S. Refaat (16864269) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2021-02-23T00:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1109/access.2021.3061370 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Household-Level_Energy_Forecasting_in_Smart_Buildings_Using_a_Novel_Hybrid_Deep_Learning_Model/24049275 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Engineering Electrical engineering Information and computing sciences Data management and data science Machine learning Predictive models Load modeling Forecasting Energy consumption Deep learning Data models Long short term memory Appliances energy forecasting Bidirectional LSTM Hybrid model Power forecasting |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <p>Forecasting of energy consumption in Smart Buildings (SB) and using the extracted information to plan and operate power generation are crucial elements of the Smart Grid (SG) energy management. Prediction of electrical loads and scheduling the generation resources to match the demand enable the utility to mitigate the energy generation cost. Different methodologies have been employed to predict energy consumption at different levels of distribution and transmission systems. In this paper, a novel hybrid deep learning model is proposed to predict energy consumption in smart buildings. The proposed framework consists of two stages, namely, data cleaning, and model building. The data cleaning phase applies pre-processing techniques to the raw data and adds additional features of lag values. In the model-building phase, the hybrid model is trained on the processed data. The hybrid deep learning (DL) model is based on the stacking of fully connected layers, and unidirectional Long Short Term Memory (LSTMs) on bi-directional LSTMs. The proposed model is designed to capture the temporal dependencies of energy consumption on dependent features and to be effective in terms of computational complexity, training time, and forecasting accuracy. The proposed model is evaluated on two benchmark energy consumption datasets yielding superior performance in terms of accuracy when compared with widely used hybrid models such as Convolutional (Conv) Neural Network-LSTM, ConvLSTM, LSTM encoder-decoder model, stacking models, etc. A mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.00% for case study 1 and a MAPE of 3.71% for case study 2 is obtained for the proposed forecasting DL model in comparison with LSTM-based models that yielded 7.80% MAPE and 5.099% MAPE for two datasets respectively. The proposed model has also been applied for multi-step week-ahead daily forecasting with an improvement of 8.368% and 20.99% in MAPE against the LSTM-based model for the utilized energy consumption datasets respectively.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p>Published in: IEEE Access<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2021.3061370" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2021.3061370</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_98be5e0fe94b2b84bb11fe230bb67557 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1109/access.2021.3061370 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/24049275 |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning ModelDabeeruddin Syed (16864260)Haitham Abu-Rub (16855500)Ali Ghrayeb (16864266)Shady S. Refaat (16864269)EngineeringElectrical engineeringInformation and computing sciencesData management and data scienceMachine learningPredictive modelsLoad modelingForecastingEnergy consumptionDeep learningData modelsLong short term memoryAppliances energy forecastingBidirectional LSTMHybrid modelPower forecasting<p>Forecasting of energy consumption in Smart Buildings (SB) and using the extracted information to plan and operate power generation are crucial elements of the Smart Grid (SG) energy management. Prediction of electrical loads and scheduling the generation resources to match the demand enable the utility to mitigate the energy generation cost. Different methodologies have been employed to predict energy consumption at different levels of distribution and transmission systems. In this paper, a novel hybrid deep learning model is proposed to predict energy consumption in smart buildings. The proposed framework consists of two stages, namely, data cleaning, and model building. The data cleaning phase applies pre-processing techniques to the raw data and adds additional features of lag values. In the model-building phase, the hybrid model is trained on the processed data. The hybrid deep learning (DL) model is based on the stacking of fully connected layers, and unidirectional Long Short Term Memory (LSTMs) on bi-directional LSTMs. The proposed model is designed to capture the temporal dependencies of energy consumption on dependent features and to be effective in terms of computational complexity, training time, and forecasting accuracy. The proposed model is evaluated on two benchmark energy consumption datasets yielding superior performance in terms of accuracy when compared with widely used hybrid models such as Convolutional (Conv) Neural Network-LSTM, ConvLSTM, LSTM encoder-decoder model, stacking models, etc. A mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.00% for case study 1 and a MAPE of 3.71% for case study 2 is obtained for the proposed forecasting DL model in comparison with LSTM-based models that yielded 7.80% MAPE and 5.099% MAPE for two datasets respectively. The proposed model has also been applied for multi-step week-ahead daily forecasting with an improvement of 8.368% and 20.99% in MAPE against the LSTM-based model for the utilized energy consumption datasets respectively.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p>Published in: IEEE Access<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2021.3061370" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/access.2021.3061370</a></p>2021-02-23T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1109/access.2021.3061370https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Household-Level_Energy_Forecasting_in_Smart_Buildings_Using_a_Novel_Hybrid_Deep_Learning_Model/24049275CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/240492752021-02-23T00:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model Dabeeruddin Syed (16864260) Engineering Electrical engineering Information and computing sciences Data management and data science Machine learning Predictive models Load modeling Forecasting Energy consumption Deep learning Data models Long short term memory Appliances energy forecasting Bidirectional LSTM Hybrid model Power forecasting |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| title_full | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| title_fullStr | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| title_short | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| title_sort | Household-Level Energy Forecasting in Smart Buildings Using a Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model |
| topic | Engineering Electrical engineering Information and computing sciences Data management and data science Machine learning Predictive models Load modeling Forecasting Energy consumption Deep learning Data models Long short term memory Appliances energy forecasting Bidirectional LSTM Hybrid model Power forecasting |