Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses
<h3>Aims</h3><p dir="ltr">To predict the epidemiological impact of specific, and primarily structural public health interventions that address lifestyle, dietary, and commuting behaviors of Qataris as well as subsidies and legislation to reduce type 2 diabetes mellitus (T...
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2023
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| _version_ | 1864513507180937216 |
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| author | Asalah Alareeki (16390194) |
| author2 | Susanne F. Awad (11607966) Julia A. Critchley (11619720) Katie G. El-Nahas (16390197) Abdulla O. Al-Hamaq (16390200) Salah A. Alyafei (11607942) Mohammed H. J. Al-Thani (14429559) Laith J. Abu-Raddad (9262524) |
| author2_role | author author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Asalah Alareeki (16390194) Susanne F. Awad (11607966) Julia A. Critchley (11619720) Katie G. El-Nahas (16390197) Abdulla O. Al-Hamaq (16390200) Salah A. Alyafei (11607942) Mohammed H. J. Al-Thani (14429559) Laith J. Abu-Raddad (9262524) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Asalah Alareeki (16390194) Susanne F. Awad (11607966) Julia A. Critchley (11619720) Katie G. El-Nahas (16390197) Abdulla O. Al-Hamaq (16390200) Salah A. Alyafei (11607942) Mohammed H. J. Al-Thani (14429559) Laith J. Abu-Raddad (9262524) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-06-19T09:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Epidemiological_impact_of_public_health_interventions_against_diabetes_in_Qatar_mathematical_modeling_analyses/26827771 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Health sciences Epidemiology Health services and systems Public health epidemiology non-communicable disease risk factors lifestyle management consumption legislation interventions mathematical modeling |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <h3>Aims</h3><p dir="ltr">To predict the epidemiological impact of specific, and primarily structural public health interventions that address lifestyle, dietary, and commuting behaviors of Qataris as well as subsidies and legislation to reduce type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) burden among Qataris.</p><h3>Methods</h3><p dir="ltr">A deterministic population-based mathematical model was used to investigate the impact of public health interventions on the epidemiology of T2DM among Qataris aged 20–79 years, which is the age range typically used by the International Diabetes Federation for adults. The study evaluated the impact of interventions up to 2050, a three-decade time horizon, to allow for the long-term effects of different types of interventions to materialize. The impact of each intervention was evaluated by comparing the predicted T2DM incidence and prevalence with the intervention to a counterfactual scenario without intervention. The model was parameterized using representative data and stratified by sex, age, T2DM risk factors, T2DM status, and intervention status.</p><h3>Results</h3><p dir="ltr">All intervention scenarios had an appreciable impact on reducing T2DM incidence and prevalence. A lifestyle management intervention approach, specifically applied to those who are categorized as obese and ≥35 years old, averted 9.5% of new T2DM cases by 2050. An active commuting intervention approach, specifically increasing cycling and walking, averted 8.5% of new T2DM cases by 2050. Enhancing consumption of healthy diets including fruits and vegetables, specifically a workplace intervention involving dietary modifications and an educational intervention, averted 23.2% of new T2DM cases by 2050. A subsidy and legislative intervention approach, implementing subsidies on fruits and vegetables and taxation on sugar-sweetened beverages, averted 7.4% of new T2DM cases by 2050. A least to most optimistic combination of interventions averted 22.8–46.9% of new T2DM cases by 2050, respectively.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p dir="ltr">Implementing a combination of individual-level and structural public health interventions is critical to prevent T2DM onset and to slow the growing T2DM epidemic in Qatar.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Frontiers in Public Health<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_a08acb3480b23c858ae95278185efab4 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/26827771 |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analysesAsalah Alareeki (16390194)Susanne F. Awad (11607966)Julia A. Critchley (11619720)Katie G. El-Nahas (16390197)Abdulla O. Al-Hamaq (16390200)Salah A. Alyafei (11607942)Mohammed H. J. Al-Thani (14429559)Laith J. Abu-Raddad (9262524)Health sciencesEpidemiologyHealth services and systemsPublic healthepidemiologynon-communicable diseaserisk factorslifestyle managementconsumptionlegislationinterventionsmathematical modeling<h3>Aims</h3><p dir="ltr">To predict the epidemiological impact of specific, and primarily structural public health interventions that address lifestyle, dietary, and commuting behaviors of Qataris as well as subsidies and legislation to reduce type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) burden among Qataris.</p><h3>Methods</h3><p dir="ltr">A deterministic population-based mathematical model was used to investigate the impact of public health interventions on the epidemiology of T2DM among Qataris aged 20–79 years, which is the age range typically used by the International Diabetes Federation for adults. The study evaluated the impact of interventions up to 2050, a three-decade time horizon, to allow for the long-term effects of different types of interventions to materialize. The impact of each intervention was evaluated by comparing the predicted T2DM incidence and prevalence with the intervention to a counterfactual scenario without intervention. The model was parameterized using representative data and stratified by sex, age, T2DM risk factors, T2DM status, and intervention status.</p><h3>Results</h3><p dir="ltr">All intervention scenarios had an appreciable impact on reducing T2DM incidence and prevalence. A lifestyle management intervention approach, specifically applied to those who are categorized as obese and ≥35 years old, averted 9.5% of new T2DM cases by 2050. An active commuting intervention approach, specifically increasing cycling and walking, averted 8.5% of new T2DM cases by 2050. Enhancing consumption of healthy diets including fruits and vegetables, specifically a workplace intervention involving dietary modifications and an educational intervention, averted 23.2% of new T2DM cases by 2050. A subsidy and legislative intervention approach, implementing subsidies on fruits and vegetables and taxation on sugar-sweetened beverages, averted 7.4% of new T2DM cases by 2050. A least to most optimistic combination of interventions averted 22.8–46.9% of new T2DM cases by 2050, respectively.</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p dir="ltr">Implementing a combination of individual-level and structural public health interventions is critical to prevent T2DM onset and to slow the growing T2DM epidemic in Qatar.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Frontiers in Public Health<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807</a></p>2023-06-19T09:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167807https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Epidemiological_impact_of_public_health_interventions_against_diabetes_in_Qatar_mathematical_modeling_analyses/26827771CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/268277712023-06-19T09:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses Asalah Alareeki (16390194) Health sciences Epidemiology Health services and systems Public health epidemiology non-communicable disease risk factors lifestyle management consumption legislation interventions mathematical modeling |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| title_full | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| title_fullStr | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| title_full_unstemmed | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| title_short | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| title_sort | Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar: mathematical modeling analyses |
| topic | Health sciences Epidemiology Health services and systems Public health epidemiology non-communicable disease risk factors lifestyle management consumption legislation interventions mathematical modeling |