Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula

<p></p><div> <p>Climate change has significantly influenced the characteristics of seasons and negatively affected ecosystems and socio-economic life. This study presents a new, objective definition for seasons in the Arabian Peninsula. Specifically, the study determines disr...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Salah Basem Ajjur (14150967) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Sami G. Al‐Ghamdi (14778637) (author)
منشور في: 2023
الموضوعات:
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
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author Salah Basem Ajjur (14150967)
author2 Sami G. Al‐Ghamdi (14778637)
author2_role author
author_facet Salah Basem Ajjur (14150967)
Sami G. Al‐Ghamdi (14778637)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Salah Basem Ajjur (14150967)
Sami G. Al‐Ghamdi (14778637)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-03-16T06:23:48Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1002/joc.7160
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Seventy_year_disruption_of_seasons_characteristics_in_the_Arabian_Peninsula/22258240
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Earth sciences
Atmospheric sciences
Atmospheric Science
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p></p><div> <p>Climate change has significantly influenced the characteristics of seasons and negatively affected ecosystems and socio-economic life. This study presents a new, objective definition for seasons in the Arabian Peninsula. Specifically, the study determines disruptions in the onset, cessation, and duration of winter, spring, summer, and autumn based on mean intra-annual changes of 12 climatological parameters from 1950 to 2019. Data for climatological parameters were obtained from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reanalysis. These data were analysed using two multivariate statistical methods: principal component analysis and cluster analysis. The results show that the characteristics of the four seasons differ from conventionally defined seasons. The differing characteristics of the four seasons are (a) that winter extends for 91 days, between 2 November (the previous year) and 31 January; (b) spring extends for 111 days, until 22 May; (c) summer extends for 106 days, until 5 September and, finally; (d) autumn completes the cycle, extending for 57 days. To investigate the decadal disruption of seasons' characteristics, the analysis was performed on the data collected during five overlapping 30-year periods: 1950–1979, 1960–1989, 1970–1999, 1980–2009, and 1990–2019. The most remarkable changes were noticed during the last 30 years. Compared to the 70-year analysis, the 1990–2019 analysis showed extra prolongation in the duration of summer and a shortage in winter, which aligns with the recent warming and drying of the Arabian Peninsula. Summer (winter) lasts for 126 (76) days. All analyses propose that all seasons start earlier, compared with the astronomical definition. The findings of this study are key to understanding the consequences of seasons changes in the Arabian Peninsula. These consequences include impacts on agriculture, water deficits, ecosystems, and land cover.</p> </div><p></p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: International Journal of Climatology<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7160" target="_blank">http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7160</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv 10.1002/joc.7160
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/22258240
publishDate 2023
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spelling Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian PeninsulaSalah Basem Ajjur (14150967)Sami G. Al‐Ghamdi (14778637)Earth sciencesAtmospheric sciencesAtmospheric Science<p></p><div> <p>Climate change has significantly influenced the characteristics of seasons and negatively affected ecosystems and socio-economic life. This study presents a new, objective definition for seasons in the Arabian Peninsula. Specifically, the study determines disruptions in the onset, cessation, and duration of winter, spring, summer, and autumn based on mean intra-annual changes of 12 climatological parameters from 1950 to 2019. Data for climatological parameters were obtained from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reanalysis. These data were analysed using two multivariate statistical methods: principal component analysis and cluster analysis. The results show that the characteristics of the four seasons differ from conventionally defined seasons. The differing characteristics of the four seasons are (a) that winter extends for 91 days, between 2 November (the previous year) and 31 January; (b) spring extends for 111 days, until 22 May; (c) summer extends for 106 days, until 5 September and, finally; (d) autumn completes the cycle, extending for 57 days. To investigate the decadal disruption of seasons' characteristics, the analysis was performed on the data collected during five overlapping 30-year periods: 1950–1979, 1960–1989, 1970–1999, 1980–2009, and 1990–2019. The most remarkable changes were noticed during the last 30 years. Compared to the 70-year analysis, the 1990–2019 analysis showed extra prolongation in the duration of summer and a shortage in winter, which aligns with the recent warming and drying of the Arabian Peninsula. Summer (winter) lasts for 126 (76) days. All analyses propose that all seasons start earlier, compared with the astronomical definition. The findings of this study are key to understanding the consequences of seasons changes in the Arabian Peninsula. These consequences include impacts on agriculture, water deficits, ecosystems, and land cover.</p> </div><p></p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: International Journal of Climatology<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7160" target="_blank">http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7160</a></p>2023-03-16T06:23:48ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1002/joc.7160https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Seventy_year_disruption_of_seasons_characteristics_in_the_Arabian_Peninsula/22258240CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/222582402023-03-16T06:23:48Z
spellingShingle Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
Salah Basem Ajjur (14150967)
Earth sciences
Atmospheric sciences
Atmospheric Science
status_str publishedVersion
title Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
title_full Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
title_fullStr Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
title_full_unstemmed Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
title_short Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
title_sort Seventy‐year disruption of seasons characteristics in the Arabian Peninsula
topic Earth sciences
Atmospheric sciences
Atmospheric Science