Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting

<p>Financial time series forecasting is crucial in empowering investors to make well-informed decisions, manage risks effectively, and strategically plan their investment activities. However, the non-stationary and non-linear characteristics inherent in time series data pose significant challe...

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محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Aryan Bhambu (18767731) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Ruobin Gao (16003195) (author), Ponnuthurai Nagaratnam Suganthan (11274636) (author)
منشور في: 2024
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author Aryan Bhambu (18767731)
author2 Ruobin Gao (16003195)
Ponnuthurai Nagaratnam Suganthan (11274636)
author2_role author
author
author_facet Aryan Bhambu (18767731)
Ruobin Gao (16003195)
Ponnuthurai Nagaratnam Suganthan (11274636)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Aryan Bhambu (18767731)
Ruobin Gao (16003195)
Ponnuthurai Nagaratnam Suganthan (11274636)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-08-01T00:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Recurrent_ensemble_random_vector_functional_link_neural_network_for_financial_time_series_forecasting/25974370
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Commerce, management, tourism and services
Banking, finance and investment
Time series forecasting
Randomized neural network
Machine learning
Deep learning
Ensemble deep learning
Finance
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p>Financial time series forecasting is crucial in empowering investors to make well-informed decisions, manage risks effectively, and strategically plan their investment activities. However, the non-stationary and non-linear characteristics inherent in time series data pose significant challenges when accurately predicting future forecasts. This paper proposes a novel Recurrent ensemble deep Random Vector Functional Link (RedRVFL) network for financial time series forecasting. The proposed model leverages randomly initialized and fixed weights for the recurrent hidden layers, ensuring stability during training. Furthermore, incorporating stacked hidden layers enables deep representation learning, facilitating the extraction of complex patterns from the data. The proposed model generates the forecast by combining the outputs of each layer through an ensemble approach. A comparative analysis was conducted against several state-of-the-art models over financial time-series datasets, and the results demonstrated the superior performance of our proposed model in terms of forecasting accuracy and predictive capability.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Applied Soft Computing<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759</a></p>
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
id Manara2_bcdc91996806f3cd1f4396d039d6dc34
identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/25974370
publishDate 2024
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rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecastingAryan Bhambu (18767731)Ruobin Gao (16003195)Ponnuthurai Nagaratnam Suganthan (11274636)Commerce, management, tourism and servicesBanking, finance and investmentTime series forecastingRandomized neural networkMachine learningDeep learningEnsemble deep learningFinance<p>Financial time series forecasting is crucial in empowering investors to make well-informed decisions, manage risks effectively, and strategically plan their investment activities. However, the non-stationary and non-linear characteristics inherent in time series data pose significant challenges when accurately predicting future forecasts. This paper proposes a novel Recurrent ensemble deep Random Vector Functional Link (RedRVFL) network for financial time series forecasting. The proposed model leverages randomly initialized and fixed weights for the recurrent hidden layers, ensuring stability during training. Furthermore, incorporating stacked hidden layers enables deep representation learning, facilitating the extraction of complex patterns from the data. The proposed model generates the forecast by combining the outputs of each layer through an ensemble approach. A comparative analysis was conducted against several state-of-the-art models over financial time-series datasets, and the results demonstrated the superior performance of our proposed model in terms of forecasting accuracy and predictive capability.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Applied Soft Computing<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759</a></p>2024-08-01T00:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111759https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Recurrent_ensemble_random_vector_functional_link_neural_network_for_financial_time_series_forecasting/25974370CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/259743702024-08-01T00:00:00Z
spellingShingle Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
Aryan Bhambu (18767731)
Commerce, management, tourism and services
Banking, finance and investment
Time series forecasting
Randomized neural network
Machine learning
Deep learning
Ensemble deep learning
Finance
status_str publishedVersion
title Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
title_full Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
title_fullStr Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
title_short Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
title_sort Recurrent ensemble random vector functional link neural network for financial time series forecasting
topic Commerce, management, tourism and services
Banking, finance and investment
Time series forecasting
Randomized neural network
Machine learning
Deep learning
Ensemble deep learning
Finance