The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033
<h3>Background</h3><p dir="ltr">Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are a great public health challenge in Qatar, with significant impacts on long-term population health and societal costs. </p><h3>Objective</h3><p dir="ltr">We aimed to forecas...
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2025
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| _version_ | 1864513532730540032 |
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| author | Dina Abushanab (10696501) |
| author2 | Daoud Al-Badriyeh (832403) Rawan F. Al Froukh (22564082) Rasha Kaddoura (12506936) Mohammed Abdelaal (14587746) Clara Marquina (1787199) Jazeel Abdulmajeed (18336774) Palli Valapila Abdulrouf (11619462) Shaban Mohamed (22282831) Zanfina Ademi (3420128) |
| author2_role | author author author author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Dina Abushanab (10696501) Daoud Al-Badriyeh (832403) Rawan F. Al Froukh (22564082) Rasha Kaddoura (12506936) Mohammed Abdelaal (14587746) Clara Marquina (1787199) Jazeel Abdulmajeed (18336774) Palli Valapila Abdulrouf (11619462) Shaban Mohamed (22282831) Zanfina Ademi (3420128) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Dina Abushanab (10696501) Daoud Al-Badriyeh (832403) Rawan F. Al Froukh (22564082) Rasha Kaddoura (12506936) Mohammed Abdelaal (14587746) Clara Marquina (1787199) Jazeel Abdulmajeed (18336774) Palli Valapila Abdulrouf (11619462) Shaban Mohamed (22282831) Zanfina Ademi (3420128) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-10-28T09:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/The_Next_Decade_of_Cardiovascular_Disease_Burden_in_Qatar_a_Gulf_Cooperation_Council_Country_Projections_from_2024_to_2033/30539975 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Economics Applied economics Health sciences Epidemiology Public health Burden cardiovascular disease health economic Qatar dynamic model |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <h3>Background</h3><p dir="ltr">Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are a great public health challenge in Qatar, with significant impacts on long-term population health and societal costs. </p><h3>Objective</h3><p dir="ltr">We aimed to forecast the health and economic burden of the CVD in Qatar from 2024-2033, from both healthcare and societal perspective. </p><h3>Methods</h3><p dir="ltr">A validated two-stage dynamic model was structured, spanning a 10-year period and targeting individuals aged 40-79. The CVD incidents (i.e., myocardial infarction [MI], stroke) were estimated using the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equation, while recurrent events were obtained from the global REACH registry. The model outcomes included fatal and non-fatal MI and stroke, years of life lived, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total direct costs, and total productivity loss costs. Utility and cost inputs were derived from published sources. Outcomes were discounted at a rate of 3% per annum. Calibration and validation were performed to ensure model accuracy. A multivariate sensitivity analysis was also conducted. </p><h3>Results</h3><p dir="ltr">By 2033, there will be 271,260 non-fatal MI events (95% confidence interval [CI] 271,249-271,277), 258,892 non-fatal strokes (95%CI 258,858-259,094), and 20,413 CVD deaths (95%CI 20,405-20,429). The cumulative years of life lived and QALYs were 13,806,845 (95% CI 13,802,149-13,811,541) and 10,655,665 (95%CI 10,652,720-10,658,611), respectively. The direct costs were QAR71.14 (95%CI QAR70.62-71.66) billion, and the productivity loss costs were estimated to surpass QAR108.12 (95%CI QAR106.88-109.36) billion. The exchange rates used were based on 2024 values (1QAR=0.27US$). </p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p dir="ltr">This study offers valuable insights into the projected burden of CVD in Qatar, highlighting the need for effective preventive strategies to reduce risk.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Current Problems in Cardiology<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_ddc2f68432fc8248d64a19111954e349 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/30539975 |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033Dina Abushanab (10696501)Daoud Al-Badriyeh (832403)Rawan F. Al Froukh (22564082)Rasha Kaddoura (12506936)Mohammed Abdelaal (14587746)Clara Marquina (1787199)Jazeel Abdulmajeed (18336774)Palli Valapila Abdulrouf (11619462)Shaban Mohamed (22282831)Zanfina Ademi (3420128)EconomicsApplied economicsHealth sciencesEpidemiologyPublic healthBurdencardiovascular diseasehealtheconomicQatardynamic model<h3>Background</h3><p dir="ltr">Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are a great public health challenge in Qatar, with significant impacts on long-term population health and societal costs. </p><h3>Objective</h3><p dir="ltr">We aimed to forecast the health and economic burden of the CVD in Qatar from 2024-2033, from both healthcare and societal perspective. </p><h3>Methods</h3><p dir="ltr">A validated two-stage dynamic model was structured, spanning a 10-year period and targeting individuals aged 40-79. The CVD incidents (i.e., myocardial infarction [MI], stroke) were estimated using the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equation, while recurrent events were obtained from the global REACH registry. The model outcomes included fatal and non-fatal MI and stroke, years of life lived, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total direct costs, and total productivity loss costs. Utility and cost inputs were derived from published sources. Outcomes were discounted at a rate of 3% per annum. Calibration and validation were performed to ensure model accuracy. A multivariate sensitivity analysis was also conducted. </p><h3>Results</h3><p dir="ltr">By 2033, there will be 271,260 non-fatal MI events (95% confidence interval [CI] 271,249-271,277), 258,892 non-fatal strokes (95%CI 258,858-259,094), and 20,413 CVD deaths (95%CI 20,405-20,429). The cumulative years of life lived and QALYs were 13,806,845 (95% CI 13,802,149-13,811,541) and 10,655,665 (95%CI 10,652,720-10,658,611), respectively. The direct costs were QAR71.14 (95%CI QAR70.62-71.66) billion, and the productivity loss costs were estimated to surpass QAR108.12 (95%CI QAR106.88-109.36) billion. The exchange rates used were based on 2024 values (1QAR=0.27US$). </p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p dir="ltr">This study offers valuable insights into the projected burden of CVD in Qatar, highlighting the need for effective preventive strategies to reduce risk.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Current Problems in Cardiology<br>License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206</a></p>2025-10-28T09:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2025.103206https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/The_Next_Decade_of_Cardiovascular_Disease_Burden_in_Qatar_a_Gulf_Cooperation_Council_Country_Projections_from_2024_to_2033/30539975CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/305399752025-10-28T09:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 Dina Abushanab (10696501) Economics Applied economics Health sciences Epidemiology Public health Burden cardiovascular disease health economic Qatar dynamic model |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| title_full | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| title_fullStr | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| title_short | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| title_sort | The Next Decade of Cardiovascular Disease Burden in Qatar, a Gulf Cooperation Council Country: Projections from 2024 to 2033 |
| topic | Economics Applied economics Health sciences Epidemiology Public health Burden cardiovascular disease health economic Qatar dynamic model |