Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach

<p>The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as v...

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Main Author: Sobhan Dorahaki (20545670) (author)
Other Authors: S.M Muyeen (20888042) (author), Nima Amjady (8176431) (author), Syed Shuibul Qarnain (13014585) (author), Mohamed Benbouzid (13183968) (author)
Published: 2025
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author Sobhan Dorahaki (20545670)
author2 S.M Muyeen (20888042)
Nima Amjady (8176431)
Syed Shuibul Qarnain (13014585)
Mohamed Benbouzid (13183968)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author_facet Sobhan Dorahaki (20545670)
S.M Muyeen (20888042)
Nima Amjady (8176431)
Syed Shuibul Qarnain (13014585)
Mohamed Benbouzid (13183968)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sobhan Dorahaki (20545670)
S.M Muyeen (20888042)
Nima Amjady (8176431)
Syed Shuibul Qarnain (13014585)
Mohamed Benbouzid (13183968)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-03-14T09:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Behavioral_Analytics_for_Optimized_Self-Scheduling_in_Sustainable_Local_Multi-Carrier_Energy_Systems_A_Prospect_Theory_Approach/28606718
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Engineering
Electrical engineering
Engineering practice and education
Behavioral economics
local multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)
optimization
prospect theory
self-scheduling
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <p>The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual power plants in upstream energy markets is particularly hindered by the limitations of conventional optimization methods, which fail to capture the nuanced behavioral aspects of decision-making. This paper presents a novel prescriptive behavioral analytics framework for LMCES self-scheduling, integrating insights from prospect theory to address the operator’s behavioral tendencies, including loss aversion, subjective risk attitudes, and mental reference points. By embedding these behavioral considerations into a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, the proposed approach accounts for real-world decision-making complexities often overlooked in conventional economic theories based on rationality. Comparative analyses demonstrate that the proposed framework not only enhances the modeling of LMCES operators’ decision-making processes but also improves energy scheduling efficiency and supports sustainable energy transitions. The findings provide actionable insights for optimizing LMCES operations, advancing their role in achieving energy sustainability goals.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679</a></p>
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identifier_str_mv 10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/28606718
publishDate 2025
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spelling Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory ApproachSobhan Dorahaki (20545670)S.M Muyeen (20888042)Nima Amjady (8176431)Syed Shuibul Qarnain (13014585)Mohamed Benbouzid (13183968)EngineeringElectrical engineeringEngineering practice and educationBehavioral economicslocal multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)optimizationprospect theoryself-scheduling<p>The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual power plants in upstream energy markets is particularly hindered by the limitations of conventional optimization methods, which fail to capture the nuanced behavioral aspects of decision-making. This paper presents a novel prescriptive behavioral analytics framework for LMCES self-scheduling, integrating insights from prospect theory to address the operator’s behavioral tendencies, including loss aversion, subjective risk attitudes, and mental reference points. By embedding these behavioral considerations into a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, the proposed approach accounts for real-world decision-making complexities often overlooked in conventional economic theories based on rationality. Comparative analyses demonstrate that the proposed framework not only enhances the modeling of LMCES operators’ decision-making processes but also improves energy scheduling efficiency and supports sustainable energy transitions. The findings provide actionable insights for optimizing LMCES operations, advancing their role in achieving energy sustainability goals.</p><h2>Other Information</h2> <p> Published in: Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks<br> License: <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679</a></p>2025-03-14T09:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Behavioral_Analytics_for_Optimized_Self-Scheduling_in_Sustainable_Local_Multi-Carrier_Energy_Systems_A_Prospect_Theory_Approach/28606718CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/286067182025-03-14T09:00:00Z
spellingShingle Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
Sobhan Dorahaki (20545670)
Engineering
Electrical engineering
Engineering practice and education
Behavioral economics
local multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)
optimization
prospect theory
self-scheduling
status_str publishedVersion
title Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
title_full Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
title_fullStr Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
title_full_unstemmed Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
title_short Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
title_sort Behavioral Analytics for Optimized Self-Scheduling in Sustainable Local Multi-Carrier Energy Systems: A Prospect Theory Approach
topic Engineering
Electrical engineering
Engineering practice and education
Behavioral economics
local multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)
optimization
prospect theory
self-scheduling