Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure

<h3>Background</h3><p dir="ltr">Smoker's paradox has been observed with several vascular disorders, yet there are limited data in patients with acute heart failure ( HF ). We examined the effects of smoking in patients with acute HF using data from a large multicente...

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Main Author: Suhail A. Doi (9552474) (author)
Other Authors: Nazmul Islam (4392160) (author), Kadhim Sulaiman (284929) (author), Alawi A. Alsheikh‐Ali (14778181) (author), Rajvir Singh (315457) (author), Awad Al‐Qahtani (17746797) (author), Nidal Asaad (284935) (author), Khalid F. AlHabib (14778184) (author), Ibrahim Al‐Zakwani (14778187) (author), Mohammed Al‐Jarallah (18103318) (author), Wael AlMahmeed (11928303) (author), Bassam Bulbanat (18103321) (author), Nooshin Bazargani (16940776) (author), Haitham Amin (284937) (author), Ahmed Al‐Motarreb (18103324) (author), Husam AlFaleh (18103327) (author), Prashanth Panduranga (847908) (author), Abdulla Shehab (284925) (author), Jassim Al Suwaidi (284932) (author), Amar M. Salam (14778172) (author)
Published: 2019
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author Suhail A. Doi (9552474)
author2 Nazmul Islam (4392160)
Kadhim Sulaiman (284929)
Alawi A. Alsheikh‐Ali (14778181)
Rajvir Singh (315457)
Awad Al‐Qahtani (17746797)
Nidal Asaad (284935)
Khalid F. AlHabib (14778184)
Ibrahim Al‐Zakwani (14778187)
Mohammed Al‐Jarallah (18103318)
Wael AlMahmeed (11928303)
Bassam Bulbanat (18103321)
Nooshin Bazargani (16940776)
Haitham Amin (284937)
Ahmed Al‐Motarreb (18103324)
Husam AlFaleh (18103327)
Prashanth Panduranga (847908)
Abdulla Shehab (284925)
Jassim Al Suwaidi (284932)
Amar M. Salam (14778172)
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Suhail A. Doi (9552474)
Nazmul Islam (4392160)
Kadhim Sulaiman (284929)
Alawi A. Alsheikh‐Ali (14778181)
Rajvir Singh (315457)
Awad Al‐Qahtani (17746797)
Nidal Asaad (284935)
Khalid F. AlHabib (14778184)
Ibrahim Al‐Zakwani (14778187)
Mohammed Al‐Jarallah (18103318)
Wael AlMahmeed (11928303)
Bassam Bulbanat (18103321)
Nooshin Bazargani (16940776)
Haitham Amin (284937)
Ahmed Al‐Motarreb (18103324)
Husam AlFaleh (18103327)
Prashanth Panduranga (847908)
Abdulla Shehab (284925)
Jassim Al Suwaidi (284932)
Amar M. Salam (14778172)
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Suhail A. Doi (9552474)
Nazmul Islam (4392160)
Kadhim Sulaiman (284929)
Alawi A. Alsheikh‐Ali (14778181)
Rajvir Singh (315457)
Awad Al‐Qahtani (17746797)
Nidal Asaad (284935)
Khalid F. AlHabib (14778184)
Ibrahim Al‐Zakwani (14778187)
Mohammed Al‐Jarallah (18103318)
Wael AlMahmeed (11928303)
Bassam Bulbanat (18103321)
Nooshin Bazargani (16940776)
Haitham Amin (284937)
Ahmed Al‐Motarreb (18103324)
Husam AlFaleh (18103327)
Prashanth Panduranga (847908)
Abdulla Shehab (284925)
Jassim Al Suwaidi (284932)
Amar M. Salam (14778172)
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-11-29T03:00:00Z
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 10.1161/jaha.119.013056
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Demystifying_Smoker_s_Paradox_A_Propensity_Score_Weighted_Analysis_in_Patients_Hospitalized_With_Acute_Heart_Failure/25340848
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv CC BY 4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Biomedical and clinical sciences
Cardiovascular medicine and haematology
covariate adjustment
covariate balance
heart failure
mortality
study design
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Text
Journal contribution
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
text
contribution to journal
description <h3>Background</h3><p dir="ltr">Smoker's paradox has been observed with several vascular disorders, yet there are limited data in patients with acute heart failure ( HF ). We examined the effects of smoking in patients with acute HF using data from a large multicenter registry. The objective was to determine if the design and analytic approach could explain the smoker's paradox in acute HF mortality.</p><h3>Methods and Results</h3><p dir="ltr">The data were sourced from the acute HF registry (Gulf CARE [Gulf Acute Heart Failure Registry]), a multicenter registry that recruited patients over 10 months admitted with a diagnosis of acute HF from 47 hospitals in 7 Middle Eastern countries. The association between smoking and mortality (in hospital) was examined using covariate adjustment, making use of mortality risk factors. A parallel analysis was performed using covariate balancing through propensity scores. Of 5005 patients hospitalized with acute HF , 1103 (22%) were current smokers. The in‐hospital mortality rates were significantly lower in current smoker's before (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI , 0.52–0.96) and more so after (odds ratio, 0.47; 95% CI , 0.31–0.70) covariate adjustment. With the propensity score–derived covariate balance, the smoking effect became much less certain (odds ratio, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.36–1.11).</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p dir="ltr">The current study illustrates the fact that the smoker's paradox is likely to be a result of residual confounding as covariate adjustment may not resolve this if there are many competing prognostic confounders. In this situation, propensity score methods for covariate balancing seem preferable.</p><h3>Clinical Trial Registration</h3><p dir="ltr">URL : https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ . Unique identifier: NCT 01467973.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Journal of the American Heart Association<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/jaha.119.013056" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/jaha.119.013056</a></p>
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identifier_str_mv 10.1161/jaha.119.013056
network_acronym_str Manara2
network_name_str Manara2
oai_identifier_str oai:figshare.com:article/25340848
publishDate 2019
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rights_invalid_str_mv CC BY 4.0
spelling Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart FailureSuhail A. Doi (9552474)Nazmul Islam (4392160)Kadhim Sulaiman (284929)Alawi A. Alsheikh‐Ali (14778181)Rajvir Singh (315457)Awad Al‐Qahtani (17746797)Nidal Asaad (284935)Khalid F. AlHabib (14778184)Ibrahim Al‐Zakwani (14778187)Mohammed Al‐Jarallah (18103318)Wael AlMahmeed (11928303)Bassam Bulbanat (18103321)Nooshin Bazargani (16940776)Haitham Amin (284937)Ahmed Al‐Motarreb (18103324)Husam AlFaleh (18103327)Prashanth Panduranga (847908)Abdulla Shehab (284925)Jassim Al Suwaidi (284932)Amar M. Salam (14778172)Biomedical and clinical sciencesCardiovascular medicine and haematologycovariate adjustmentcovariate balanceheart failuremortalitystudy design<h3>Background</h3><p dir="ltr">Smoker's paradox has been observed with several vascular disorders, yet there are limited data in patients with acute heart failure ( HF ). We examined the effects of smoking in patients with acute HF using data from a large multicenter registry. The objective was to determine if the design and analytic approach could explain the smoker's paradox in acute HF mortality.</p><h3>Methods and Results</h3><p dir="ltr">The data were sourced from the acute HF registry (Gulf CARE [Gulf Acute Heart Failure Registry]), a multicenter registry that recruited patients over 10 months admitted with a diagnosis of acute HF from 47 hospitals in 7 Middle Eastern countries. The association between smoking and mortality (in hospital) was examined using covariate adjustment, making use of mortality risk factors. A parallel analysis was performed using covariate balancing through propensity scores. Of 5005 patients hospitalized with acute HF , 1103 (22%) were current smokers. The in‐hospital mortality rates were significantly lower in current smoker's before (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI , 0.52–0.96) and more so after (odds ratio, 0.47; 95% CI , 0.31–0.70) covariate adjustment. With the propensity score–derived covariate balance, the smoking effect became much less certain (odds ratio, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.36–1.11).</p><h3>Conclusions</h3><p dir="ltr">The current study illustrates the fact that the smoker's paradox is likely to be a result of residual confounding as covariate adjustment may not resolve this if there are many competing prognostic confounders. In this situation, propensity score methods for covariate balancing seem preferable.</p><h3>Clinical Trial Registration</h3><p dir="ltr">URL : https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ . Unique identifier: NCT 01467973.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: Journal of the American Heart Association<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/jaha.119.013056" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/jaha.119.013056</a></p>2019-11-29T03:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1161/jaha.119.013056https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Demystifying_Smoker_s_Paradox_A_Propensity_Score_Weighted_Analysis_in_Patients_Hospitalized_With_Acute_Heart_Failure/25340848CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/253408482019-11-29T03:00:00Z
spellingShingle Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
Suhail A. Doi (9552474)
Biomedical and clinical sciences
Cardiovascular medicine and haematology
covariate adjustment
covariate balance
heart failure
mortality
study design
status_str publishedVersion
title Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
title_full Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
title_fullStr Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
title_full_unstemmed Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
title_short Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
title_sort Demystifying Smoker's Paradox: A Propensity Score–Weighted Analysis in Patients Hospitalized With Acute Heart Failure
topic Biomedical and clinical sciences
Cardiovascular medicine and haematology
covariate adjustment
covariate balance
heart failure
mortality
study design