Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar
<p dir="ltr">To avoid the operational consequence of thermal rating exceedance and the financial consequence of excessive reinforcement, the impact of domestic charging of electric vehicles (EVs) on power distribution networks must be accurately assessed prior to accepting vehicle el...
محفوظ في:
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| مؤلفون آخرون: | , , , , |
| منشور في: |
2023
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إضافة وسم
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| _version_ | 1864513527025238016 |
|---|---|
| author | Fulin Fan (10686666) |
| author2 | I. Safak Bayram (16904805) Usman Zafar (16875939) Sertac Bayhan (16388511) Bruce Stephen (17986990) Stuart Galloway (826824) |
| author2_role | author author author author author |
| author_facet | Fulin Fan (10686666) I. Safak Bayram (16904805) Usman Zafar (16875939) Sertac Bayhan (16388511) Bruce Stephen (17986990) Stuart Galloway (826824) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Fulin Fan (10686666) I. Safak Bayram (16904805) Usman Zafar (16875939) Sertac Bayhan (16388511) Bruce Stephen (17986990) Stuart Galloway (826824) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-10-13T15:00:00Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Probabilistic_Assessment_of_Community-Scale_Vehicle_Electrification_Using_GPS-Based_Vehicle_Mobility_Data_A_Case_Study_in_Qatar/25243372 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Engineering Automotive engineering Thermal stability Probabilistic logic Electric vehicle charging Surveys Probability density function Power system stability Meteorology Electric network stability electric vehicle demand synthesis probabilistic assessment vehicle mobility data |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Text Journal contribution info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text contribution to journal |
| description | <p dir="ltr">To avoid the operational consequence of thermal rating exceedance and the financial consequence of excessive reinforcement, the impact of domestic charging of electric vehicles (EVs) on power distribution networks must be accurately assessed prior to accepting vehicle electrification at the community-scale. Although driven by routine, charging behaviour patterns are also influenced by geography, meteorological conditions and season, hence will have a localised element to them that could reduce the diversity of charging load profiles. To model this uncertainty, this article develops a probabilistic methodology to quantify EV home charging demands based on vehicle mobility data and underlying trip characteristics. Models articulate the departure time distribution using a mixture of von Mises distributions, and incorporate non-negative conditional distributions of trip durations, distances and parking durations, which in turn generalise localised charging behaviours. The resulting load profiles are used to drive a community electric network model based on a distribution feeder in Qatar, a country with high per km energy consumption, to quantify impact scenarios of high temperature and driving habit in terms of voltage and thermal stability. Results indicate that overnight domestic charging is sufficient to support daily trips and local networks are capable of hosting high EV penetration despite peaks.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: IEEE Open Journal of Vehicular Technology<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626</a></p> |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara2_f3aa2c78a5123b2dc63abeca24f41986 |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara2 |
| network_name_str | Manara2 |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/25243372 |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY 4.0 |
| spelling | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in QatarFulin Fan (10686666)I. Safak Bayram (16904805)Usman Zafar (16875939)Sertac Bayhan (16388511)Bruce Stephen (17986990)Stuart Galloway (826824)EngineeringAutomotive engineeringThermal stabilityProbabilistic logicElectric vehicle chargingSurveysProbability density functionPower system stabilityMeteorologyElectric network stabilityelectric vehicle demand synthesisprobabilistic assessmentvehicle mobility data<p dir="ltr">To avoid the operational consequence of thermal rating exceedance and the financial consequence of excessive reinforcement, the impact of domestic charging of electric vehicles (EVs) on power distribution networks must be accurately assessed prior to accepting vehicle electrification at the community-scale. Although driven by routine, charging behaviour patterns are also influenced by geography, meteorological conditions and season, hence will have a localised element to them that could reduce the diversity of charging load profiles. To model this uncertainty, this article develops a probabilistic methodology to quantify EV home charging demands based on vehicle mobility data and underlying trip characteristics. Models articulate the departure time distribution using a mixture of von Mises distributions, and incorporate non-negative conditional distributions of trip durations, distances and parking durations, which in turn generalise localised charging behaviours. The resulting load profiles are used to drive a community electric network model based on a distribution feeder in Qatar, a country with high per km energy consumption, to quantify impact scenarios of high temperature and driving habit in terms of voltage and thermal stability. Results indicate that overnight domestic charging is sufficient to support daily trips and local networks are capable of hosting high EV penetration despite peaks.</p><h2>Other Information</h2><p dir="ltr">Published in: IEEE Open Journal of Vehicular Technology<br>License: <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</a><br>See article on publisher's website: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626" target="_blank">https://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626</a></p>2023-10-13T15:00:00ZTextJournal contributioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontextcontribution to journal10.1109/ojvt.2023.3323626https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Probabilistic_Assessment_of_Community-Scale_Vehicle_Electrification_Using_GPS-Based_Vehicle_Mobility_Data_A_Case_Study_in_Qatar/25243372CC BY 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/252433722023-10-13T15:00:00Z |
| spellingShingle | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar Fulin Fan (10686666) Engineering Automotive engineering Thermal stability Probabilistic logic Electric vehicle charging Surveys Probability density function Power system stability Meteorology Electric network stability electric vehicle demand synthesis probabilistic assessment vehicle mobility data |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| title_full | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| title_fullStr | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| title_full_unstemmed | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| title_short | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| title_sort | Probabilistic Assessment of Community-Scale Vehicle Electrification Using GPS-Based Vehicle Mobility Data: A Case Study in Qatar |
| topic | Engineering Automotive engineering Thermal stability Probabilistic logic Electric vehicle charging Surveys Probability density function Power system stability Meteorology Electric network stability electric vehicle demand synthesis probabilistic assessment vehicle mobility data |