S7 Fig -
<p>Comparison of EpiFusion and BDSky likelihoods on the same datasets for varying values of (a) beta, (b) gamma and (c) psi around the true values (marked by the blue vertical line). The stochastic and approximate nature of the EpiFusion likelihood means the values are not identical, though th...
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2024
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| Summary: | <p>Comparison of EpiFusion and BDSky likelihoods on the same datasets for varying values of (a) beta, (b) gamma and (c) psi around the true values (marked by the blue vertical line). The stochastic and approximate nature of the EpiFusion likelihood means the values are not identical, though they do show good agreement in awarding the true value with the highest likelihood. As the model values of each parameter become further from the true value, the EpiFusion likelihood shows a tendency to drop sharply due to the parameters values implying very unlikely or impossible trajectories. The EpiFusion models appear to demonstrate a marginal overestimation of the sampling parameter psi here, however this was not seen in the simulation based calibration.</p> <p>(TIFF)</p> |
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