Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies
Transportation has emerged as a major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions worldwide. With increasing population growth and food demand, the spatial decoupling of production and consumption has intensified, driving a surge in transnational agricultural products transportation. However, exis...
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2025
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| _version_ | 1849927621983338496 |
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| author | Zihan Gao (10820297) |
| author2 | Xiuzhi Chen (8329971) Yixuan Yin (2327827) Peng Hou (262071) Tuo Yin (17724064) Yanling Long (9924328) Siqi Han (849725) Yunkai Li (5014013) |
| author2_role | author author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Zihan Gao (10820297) Xiuzhi Chen (8329971) Yixuan Yin (2327827) Peng Hou (262071) Tuo Yin (17724064) Yanling Long (9924328) Siqi Han (849725) Yunkai Li (5014013) |
| author_role | author |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Zihan Gao (10820297) Xiuzhi Chen (8329971) Yixuan Yin (2327827) Peng Hou (262071) Tuo Yin (17724064) Yanling Long (9924328) Siqi Han (849725) Yunkai Li (5014013) |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-11-26T07:03:57Z |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1021/acs.est.5c05787.s001 |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Spatiotemporal_Dynamics_of_Global_Agricultural_Transport_Greenhouse_Gas_Emissions_from_Trade_and_the_Climate_Implications_of_Localization_Strategies/30719035 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | CC BY-NC 4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Biophysics Genetics Biotechnology Ecology Science Policy Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified integrating multisource data increasing population growth carbon farming technologies localization strategies transportation localization strategies proposed existing research lacks agricultural transport increased total ghg outputs study systematically evaluates localized agricultural production related ghg emissions global ghg emissions ghg emissions future strategies research method reducing transport stage emissions emissions worldwide ghg emission year period systematic assessment spatiotemporal evolution spatiotemporal dynamics spatial decoupling results suggest promoting low particularly effective net rise modeling frameworks mitigation potential major contributor inefficiencies inherent increase production greenhouse gas global trade future scenarios future projection food demand findings reveal climate implications 34 %. |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | Dataset info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion dataset |
| description | Transportation has emerged as a major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions worldwide. With increasing population growth and food demand, the spatial decoupling of production and consumption has intensified, driving a surge in transnational agricultural products transportation. However, existing research lacks a systematic assessment and future projection of GHG emissions from agricultural product transportation across multiple transport modes worldwide. To address this gap, we developed a global trade-linked transport GHG emission database by integrating multisource data and modeling frameworks. Compared with the research method in this paper, the previous great circle distance as the GHG emission of agricultural product transportation mileage was underestimated by 34%. This study systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal evolution of agricultural transport GHG emissions from 2000 to 2021 and explores their mitigation potential under future scenarios. Our findings reveal that global GHG emissions from agricultural transport increased by 1.6-fold over the 21-year period, with rising GHG emission intensity and trade density collectively shaping a high-carbon flow pattern dominated by exports from the Americas to Asia. Future scenario analyses indicate that the localization strategies proposed in this study are not particularly effective in reducing transport-related GHG emissions as inefficiencies inherent in localized agricultural production can increase production-stage emissions and, in turn, result in a net rise in total GHG outputs. These results suggest that future strategies should prioritize optimizing trade structures while simultaneously enhancing domestic agricultural productivity and promoting low-carbon farming technologies to achieve net emission reductions at the source. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| id | Manara_dcaf6c277f153fbc9d4fd457b2f75c4e |
| identifier_str_mv | 10.1021/acs.est.5c05787.s001 |
| network_acronym_str | Manara |
| network_name_str | ManaraRepo |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:figshare.com:article/30719035 |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | CC BY-NC 4.0 |
| spelling | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization StrategiesZihan Gao (10820297)Xiuzhi Chen (8329971)Yixuan Yin (2327827)Peng Hou (262071)Tuo Yin (17724064)Yanling Long (9924328)Siqi Han (849725)Yunkai Li (5014013)BiophysicsGeneticsBiotechnologyEcologyScience PolicyEnvironmental Sciences not elsewhere classifiedBiological Sciences not elsewhere classifiedintegrating multisource dataincreasing population growthcarbon farming technologieslocalization strategies transportationlocalization strategies proposedexisting research lacksagricultural transport increasedtotal ghg outputsstudy systematically evaluateslocalized agricultural productionrelated ghg emissionsglobal ghg emissionsghg emissionsfuture strategiesresearch methodreducing transportstage emissionsemissions worldwideghg emissionyear periodsystematic assessmentspatiotemporal evolutionspatiotemporal dynamicsspatial decouplingresults suggestpromoting lowparticularly effectivenet risemodeling frameworksmitigation potentialmajor contributorinefficiencies inherentincrease productiongreenhouse gasglobal tradefuture scenariosfuture projectionfood demandfindings revealclimate implications34 %.Transportation has emerged as a major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions worldwide. With increasing population growth and food demand, the spatial decoupling of production and consumption has intensified, driving a surge in transnational agricultural products transportation. However, existing research lacks a systematic assessment and future projection of GHG emissions from agricultural product transportation across multiple transport modes worldwide. To address this gap, we developed a global trade-linked transport GHG emission database by integrating multisource data and modeling frameworks. Compared with the research method in this paper, the previous great circle distance as the GHG emission of agricultural product transportation mileage was underestimated by 34%. This study systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal evolution of agricultural transport GHG emissions from 2000 to 2021 and explores their mitigation potential under future scenarios. Our findings reveal that global GHG emissions from agricultural transport increased by 1.6-fold over the 21-year period, with rising GHG emission intensity and trade density collectively shaping a high-carbon flow pattern dominated by exports from the Americas to Asia. Future scenario analyses indicate that the localization strategies proposed in this study are not particularly effective in reducing transport-related GHG emissions as inefficiencies inherent in localized agricultural production can increase production-stage emissions and, in turn, result in a net rise in total GHG outputs. These results suggest that future strategies should prioritize optimizing trade structures while simultaneously enhancing domestic agricultural productivity and promoting low-carbon farming technologies to achieve net emission reductions at the source.2025-11-26T07:03:57ZDatasetinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiondataset10.1021/acs.est.5c05787.s001https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Spatiotemporal_Dynamics_of_Global_Agricultural_Transport_Greenhouse_Gas_Emissions_from_Trade_and_the_Climate_Implications_of_Localization_Strategies/30719035CC BY-NC 4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:figshare.com:article/307190352025-11-26T07:03:57Z |
| spellingShingle | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies Zihan Gao (10820297) Biophysics Genetics Biotechnology Ecology Science Policy Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified integrating multisource data increasing population growth carbon farming technologies localization strategies transportation localization strategies proposed existing research lacks agricultural transport increased total ghg outputs study systematically evaluates localized agricultural production related ghg emissions global ghg emissions ghg emissions future strategies research method reducing transport stage emissions emissions worldwide ghg emission year period systematic assessment spatiotemporal evolution spatiotemporal dynamics spatial decoupling results suggest promoting low particularly effective net rise modeling frameworks mitigation potential major contributor inefficiencies inherent increase production greenhouse gas global trade future scenarios future projection food demand findings reveal climate implications 34 %. |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| title_full | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| title_fullStr | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| title_short | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| title_sort | Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Agricultural Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Trade and the Climate Implications of Localization Strategies |
| topic | Biophysics Genetics Biotechnology Ecology Science Policy Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified integrating multisource data increasing population growth carbon farming technologies localization strategies transportation localization strategies proposed existing research lacks agricultural transport increased total ghg outputs study systematically evaluates localized agricultural production related ghg emissions global ghg emissions ghg emissions future strategies research method reducing transport stage emissions emissions worldwide ghg emission year period systematic assessment spatiotemporal evolution spatiotemporal dynamics spatial decoupling results suggest promoting low particularly effective net rise modeling frameworks mitigation potential major contributor inefficiencies inherent increase production greenhouse gas global trade future scenarios future projection food demand findings reveal climate implications 34 %. |