Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach

The remarkable explosion of e-commerce has marked the latest years of different industries and put forward a higher requirement for the last mile delivery. The last mile delivery is one of the most complex, costly, and inefficient processes along the entire logistics fulfillment chain in an e-commer...

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محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Mismar, Hajed (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Shamayleh, Abdulrahim (author), Qazi, Abroon (author)
التنسيق: article
منشور في: 2022
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://hdl.handle.net/11073/33293
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
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author Mismar, Hajed
author2 Shamayleh, Abdulrahim
Qazi, Abroon
author2_role author
author
author_facet Mismar, Hajed
Shamayleh, Abdulrahim
Qazi, Abroon
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Mismar, Hajed
Shamayleh, Abdulrahim
Qazi, Abroon
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-11-15
2026-04-15T13:47:57Z
2026-04-15T13:47:57Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv Mismar, H., Shamayleh, A., & Qazi, A. (2022). Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach. IEEE Access, 10, 118551–118562. https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2022.3220626
2169-3536
https://hdl.handle.net/11073/33293
10.1109/access.2022.3220626
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv EEE
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2022.3220626
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv Attribution 4.0 International
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Bayesian belief network
E-Commerce
Last Mile Delivery
Risk
Risk Assessment
Risk Management
COVID-19
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Peer-Reviewed
Published version
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
description The remarkable explosion of e-commerce has marked the latest years of different industries and put forward a higher requirement for the last mile delivery. The last mile delivery is one of the most complex, costly, and inefficient processes along the entire logistics fulfillment chain in an e-commerce context. Its corresponding risks are major contributors to delivery failure. This work proposes a comprehensive framework on risk identification and analysis in the last mile delivery to support delivery planning. Risks were deduced from available literature, and others were induced through semi-structured interviews with experts in the field. Risks are categorized and the relative probability and severity of individual risks are determined. This study adopts a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) model to identify the interdependency among risks and rank them, as the conventional ranking methods fail to take interdependency into account. The results indicate that privacy concerns, IT, and natural disasters are the most critical risks. This study will aid logistics service providers to ultimately deciding the solutions of last mile delivery that need to be utilized by prioritizing last mile delivery possible risks to increase their competitiveness and market share and minimize delivery costs.
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identifier_str_mv Mismar, H., Shamayleh, A., & Qazi, A. (2022). Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach. IEEE Access, 10, 118551–118562. https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2022.3220626
2169-3536
10.1109/access.2022.3220626
language_invalid_str_mv en
network_acronym_str aus
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oai_identifier_str oai:repository.aus.edu:11073/33293
publishDate 2022
publisher.none.fl_str_mv EEE
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository_id_str
rights_invalid_str_mv Attribution 4.0 International
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
spelling Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network ApproachMismar, HajedShamayleh, AbdulrahimQazi, AbroonBayesian belief networkE-CommerceLast Mile DeliveryRiskRisk AssessmentRisk ManagementCOVID-19The remarkable explosion of e-commerce has marked the latest years of different industries and put forward a higher requirement for the last mile delivery. The last mile delivery is one of the most complex, costly, and inefficient processes along the entire logistics fulfillment chain in an e-commerce context. Its corresponding risks are major contributors to delivery failure. This work proposes a comprehensive framework on risk identification and analysis in the last mile delivery to support delivery planning. Risks were deduced from available literature, and others were induced through semi-structured interviews with experts in the field. Risks are categorized and the relative probability and severity of individual risks are determined. This study adopts a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) model to identify the interdependency among risks and rank them, as the conventional ranking methods fail to take interdependency into account. The results indicate that privacy concerns, IT, and natural disasters are the most critical risks. This study will aid logistics service providers to ultimately deciding the solutions of last mile delivery that need to be utilized by prioritizing last mile delivery possible risks to increase their competitiveness and market share and minimize delivery costs.EEE2026-04-15T13:47:57Z2026-04-15T13:47:57Z2022-11-15Peer-ReviewedPublished versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfMismar, H., Shamayleh, A., & Qazi, A. (2022). Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach. IEEE Access, 10, 118551–118562. https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2022.32206262169-3536https://hdl.handle.net/11073/3329310.1109/access.2022.3220626enhttps://doi.org/10.1109/access.2022.3220626Attribution 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/oai:repository.aus.edu:11073/332932026-04-16T05:38:34Z
spellingShingle Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
Mismar, Hajed
Bayesian belief network
E-Commerce
Last Mile Delivery
Risk
Risk Assessment
Risk Management
COVID-19
status_str publishedVersion
title Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
title_full Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
title_fullStr Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
title_full_unstemmed Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
title_short Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
title_sort Prioritizing Risks in Last Mile Delivery: A Bayesian Belief Network Approach
topic Bayesian belief network
E-Commerce
Last Mile Delivery
Risk
Risk Assessment
Risk Management
COVID-19
url https://hdl.handle.net/11073/33293