AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes

A Master of Science thesis in Engineering Systems Management by Fajer Al Ali entitled, “AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes”, submitted in November 2024. Thesis advisor is Dr. Hussam Alshraideh. Soft copy is available (Thesis, Completion Certifi...

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Main Author: Al Ali, Fajer (author)
Format: doctoralThesis
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/11073/25928
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author Al Ali, Fajer
author_facet Al Ali, Fajer
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Alshraideh, Hussam
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Al Ali, Fajer
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-11
2025-03-11T07:09:23Z
2025-03-11T07:09:23Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 35.232-2024.68
https://hdl.handle.net/11073/25928
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en_US
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Reverse Osmosis
Membranes fouling
Predictive Modelling
Remaining Useful Life (RUL)
Clean-in-Place
Desalination
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis
description A Master of Science thesis in Engineering Systems Management by Fajer Al Ali entitled, “AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes”, submitted in November 2024. Thesis advisor is Dr. Hussam Alshraideh. Soft copy is available (Thesis, Completion Certificate, Approval Signatures, and AUS Archives Consent Form).
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network_acronym_str aus
network_name_str aus
oai_identifier_str oai:repository.aus.edu:11073/25928
publishDate 2024
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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spelling AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranesAl Ali, FajerReverse OsmosisMembranes foulingPredictive ModellingRemaining Useful Life (RUL)Clean-in-PlaceDesalinationA Master of Science thesis in Engineering Systems Management by Fajer Al Ali entitled, “AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes”, submitted in November 2024. Thesis advisor is Dr. Hussam Alshraideh. Soft copy is available (Thesis, Completion Certificate, Approval Signatures, and AUS Archives Consent Form).The increasing demand for freshwater has heightened the reliance on desalination plants as a vital resource, particularly in the context of the Sharjah Electricity, Water and Gas Authority (SEWA) in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which integrates different water desalination plants, including reverse osmosis (RO) to produce water. This thesis focuses on the development of an artificial intelligence-based predictive model for estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of RO membranes. It addresses the critical operational challenge of membrane fouling caused by particle accumulation, which can lead to significant efficiency losses and system damage. The concept of RUL is defined as the anticipated time until the RO membrane reaches a specified performance threshold, guiding maintenance actions to enhance system longevity and efficiency. The predictive model developed in this study utilizes data from SEWA's operational database and laboratory records to forecast the RUL. R Software was employed as the primary tool for building and testing the predictive models, including Linear Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and XGBoost. The Random Forest algorithm demonstrated the best performance, achieving an R² coefficient of 0.984, an RMSE of 0.136, and an MAE of 0.0997. These results highlight the exceptional accuracy and reliability of the model in predicting the RUL. Additionally, the findings from the variable importance analysis revealed that the most significant features influencing the RUL were SDI, water temperature, pump speed, and the age of the membrane. Understanding these key variables can provide valuable insights into optimizing operational conditions, thus extending membrane lifespan. By accurately predicting RUL, the model aims to reduce pressure changes that contribute to fouling and mitigate potential membrane damage. The implementation of this AI-driven model is expected to optimize clean-in-place (CIP) scheduling, ultimately maximizing the longevity and performance of RO membranes. The findings of this research will not only enhance understanding of the necessary operating conditions for effective seawater treatment but will also contribute to the broader literature on predictive maintenance in desalination, supporting more efficient and sustainable water production practices.College of EngineeringDepartment of Industrial EngineeringMaster of Science in Engineering Systems Management (MSESM)Alshraideh, Hussam2025-03-11T07:09:23Z2025-03-11T07:09:23Z2024-11info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisapplication/pdf35.232-2024.68https://hdl.handle.net/11073/25928en_USoai:repository.aus.edu:11073/259282025-06-26T12:34:25Z
spellingShingle AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
Al Ali, Fajer
Reverse Osmosis
Membranes fouling
Predictive Modelling
Remaining Useful Life (RUL)
Clean-in-Place
Desalination
status_str publishedVersion
title AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
title_full AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
title_fullStr AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
title_full_unstemmed AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
title_short AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
title_sort AI-based remaining useful life prediction and modelling of seawater desalination membranes
topic Reverse Osmosis
Membranes fouling
Predictive Modelling
Remaining Useful Life (RUL)
Clean-in-Place
Desalination
url https://hdl.handle.net/11073/25928