Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology

Early prediction of a student who is at risk of course dropout leads to student retention in the study course. The percentage of student dropout in higher education sector is high, and affects the students’ careers negatively and the institute’s program continuation. The purpose of this study is to...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: BINEID, AHMAD ABDULLA (author)
منشور في: 2022
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/2130
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
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author BINEID, AHMAD ABDULLA
author_facet BINEID, AHMAD ABDULLA
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv BINEID, AHMAD ABDULLA
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-11
2023-01-06T07:27:58Z
2023-01-06T07:27:58Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 20190301
https://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/2130
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv The British University in Dubai (BUiD)
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv student withdrawal
United Arab Emirates (UAE)
data mining
higher education
Central Higher Education Data Store (CHEDS)
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
توقع الطالب المنسحب من مستودع البيانات التابع لدولة الامارات باستخدام منهجية التنقيب عن البيانات
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Dissertation
description Early prediction of a student who is at risk of course dropout leads to student retention in the study course. The percentage of student dropout in higher education sector is high, and affects the students’ careers negatively and the institute’s program continuation. The purpose of this study is to predict and identify students who are likely to withdraw from an institute. This identification assists the institute’s advisor to take precautionary measures to retain this group of students. Also, the study aims to find the variable that is most efficient to lead to student dropout prediction. To fulfil the study’s aim, CRISP method was followed after reviewing research papers. A dataset of 1272 students’ data in size from Central Higher Education Data Store (CHEDS) has been fetched from Dubai’s governmental higher education institute. The demography of students is international background. Several model classifiers from Standard and ensemble were implemented to find the best answer to the research questions. Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) based on Area Under Curve (AUC) was used to assess the result plus other metrics. Research outcome, results showed that students who had low GPA, average register credit hours and fluctuating student’s enrollment status were more likely to withdraw from study course. Random Forest classifiers demonstrated the highest performance in prediction, and scored 87.8% in AUC with an accuracy of 84.82%. GPA and average register credit hours attributes were the most effective contributor in prediction.
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network_name_str The British University in Dubai repository
oai_identifier_str oai:bspace.buid.ac.ae:1234/2130
publishDate 2022
publisher.none.fl_str_mv The British University in Dubai (BUiD)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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spelling Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodologyتوقع الطالب المنسحب من مستودع البيانات التابع لدولة الامارات باستخدام منهجية التنقيب عن البياناتBINEID, AHMAD ABDULLAstudent withdrawalUnited Arab Emirates (UAE)data mininghigher educationCentral Higher Education Data Store (CHEDS)Early prediction of a student who is at risk of course dropout leads to student retention in the study course. The percentage of student dropout in higher education sector is high, and affects the students’ careers negatively and the institute’s program continuation. The purpose of this study is to predict and identify students who are likely to withdraw from an institute. This identification assists the institute’s advisor to take precautionary measures to retain this group of students. Also, the study aims to find the variable that is most efficient to lead to student dropout prediction. To fulfil the study’s aim, CRISP method was followed after reviewing research papers. A dataset of 1272 students’ data in size from Central Higher Education Data Store (CHEDS) has been fetched from Dubai’s governmental higher education institute. The demography of students is international background. Several model classifiers from Standard and ensemble were implemented to find the best answer to the research questions. Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) based on Area Under Curve (AUC) was used to assess the result plus other metrics. Research outcome, results showed that students who had low GPA, average register credit hours and fluctuating student’s enrollment status were more likely to withdraw from study course. Random Forest classifiers demonstrated the highest performance in prediction, and scored 87.8% in AUC with an accuracy of 84.82%. GPA and average register credit hours attributes were the most effective contributor in prediction.The British University in Dubai (BUiD)2023-01-06T07:27:58Z2023-01-06T07:27:58Z2022-11Dissertationapplication/pdf20190301https://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/2130enoai:bspace.buid.ac.ae:1234/21302023-01-06T23:00:22Z
spellingShingle Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
BINEID, AHMAD ABDULLA
student withdrawal
United Arab Emirates (UAE)
data mining
higher education
Central Higher Education Data Store (CHEDS)
title Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
title_full Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
title_fullStr Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
title_short Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
title_sort Predicting Student Withdrawal from UAE CHEDS Repository using Data Mining Methodology
topic student withdrawal
United Arab Emirates (UAE)
data mining
higher education
Central Higher Education Data Store (CHEDS)
url https://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/2130