revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs

DISSERTATION WITH DISTINCTION

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Main Author: Serov, Vasiliy (author)
Published: 2011
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Online Access:http://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/101
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author Serov, Vasiliy
author_facet Serov, Vasiliy
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Serov, Vasiliy
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2011-04
2013-05-20T12:46:54Z
2013-05-20T12:46:54Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv 70046
http://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/101
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv The British University in Dubai (BUiD)
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv credit risk assessment
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Dissertation
description DISSERTATION WITH DISTINCTION
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oai_identifier_str oai:bspace.buid.ac.ae:1234/101
publishDate 2011
publisher.none.fl_str_mv The British University in Dubai (BUiD)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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spelling revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEsSerov, Vasiliycredit risk assessmentSmall and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)DISSERTATION WITH DISTINCTIONWith credit decisions being defined as increasingly important and crucial decisions in today’s business environment, affecting entire life-span of a business, failure results in high costs for firms, society and economy in general. We, thus, see evaluation of business failure as emerged scientific field seeking optimal prediction models, depending on specific characteristics of the firms studied. The main job of a credit analyst is to determine risk relative to the portfolio one is analyzing. In such analysis quantitative factors are vital variables as they allow an expert to say whether a company with a certain, say, leverage ratio, is risky or not. Credit analysts of public large corporates are availed with sophisticated tools of measuring associated credit risk of their borrowers, which allows them to efficiently summarize substantial size of the analytical data, like financials, into standardized condensed number, probability or rating, that would rank a corporate effectively along the ladder of associated default probability and allow analyst to focus his expertise more productively and apply the subjective, expertise-driven, analysis to produce a verdict where it is needed the most. Middle market lending, however, is still primarily a subjective process. No universal and objective benchmarks are existent up-to-date that could be applied across all Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) effectively and would allow their loans to be securitized. As market value information is valuable and not reflected in financials, private firms default models are sub-optimal to those companies with traded equity (Falkenstein, Boral, & Carty, RiskCalc(TM) For Private Companies: Moody's Default Model, 2000). After many years of research, there is no universally accepted model for predicting probability of default (PD) for SMEs, based on causal specification of underlying economic factors. This contributes significantly to the financing gap that the SME sector is faced with. Lack of credit to this sector persists heavily despite the fact that SMEs are a major contributor to economy’s output and development. Importance of making an accurate judgment about counterparty’s PD is high especially for financial institutions, like banks, whose margins on net cash flow are so narrow and their leverage is so high that small differences in actual and estimated assets’ quality may affect their solvency substantially and, hence, solvency of financial sector of economy as a whole. The lack of precise methods in measuring of credit risk results into numerous problems for lenders: (i) high unexpected losses, (ii) high cost of credit applications review, (iii) frequently credit decision-making is separated from collection function, while the feedback from the latter is vital for development of judgmental skills in people who approve credit applications, (iv) lack of experienced personnel and due to lack of specific methods, personnel is hard to train. Each loan that is mispriced or mistakenly granted represents a lost opportunity. Hence, importance of better credit analysis should not be underestimated. In light of the above, this study tries to focus on specifics of credit risk analysis of SMEs and discuss how the approach should be modified to incorporate these unique features of smaller companies.The British University in Dubai (BUiD)2013-05-20T12:46:54Z2013-05-20T12:46:54Z2011-04Dissertationapplication/pdf70046http://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/101enoai:bspace.buid.ac.ae:1234/1012021-10-07T12:31:19Z
spellingShingle revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
Serov, Vasiliy
credit risk assessment
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
title revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
title_full revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
title_fullStr revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
title_full_unstemmed revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
title_short revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
title_sort revisiting credit risk assessment of SMEs
topic credit risk assessment
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
url http://bspace.buid.ac.ae/handle/1234/101