Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)

Climate change significantly impacts local, regional, and global vegetation changes. These changes have continued to threaten ecosystems, especially in dryland areas where moisture is scarce, and the livelihoods of rural communities are at risk because of such changes, as well as their capacity to p...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Mohammad, Hadi Ahmad (author)
مؤلفون آخرون: Abubakar, Ahmed (author), Yusoff Ishak, Mohd (author), Shehu Danhassan, Samir (author), Jiahua, Zhang (author), Alatalo, Juha M. (author)
التنسيق: article
منشور في: 2023
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23011214
http://hdl.handle.net/10576/48858
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author Mohammad, Hadi Ahmad
author2 Abubakar, Ahmed
Yusoff Ishak, Mohd
Shehu Danhassan, Samir
Jiahua, Zhang
Alatalo, Juha M.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Mohammad, Hadi Ahmad
Abubakar, Ahmed
Yusoff Ishak, Mohd
Shehu Danhassan, Samir
Jiahua, Zhang
Alatalo, Juha M.
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Mohammad, Hadi Ahmad
Abubakar, Ahmed
Yusoff Ishak, Mohd
Shehu Danhassan, Samir
Jiahua, Zhang
Alatalo, Juha M.
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10-30T05:08:36Z
2023-11-30
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979
1470160X
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23011214
http://hdl.handle.net/10576/48858
155
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Vegetation
Precipitation
Maximum temperature
Minimum temperature
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
description Climate change significantly impacts local, regional, and global vegetation changes. These changes have continued to threaten ecosystems, especially in dryland areas where moisture is scarce, and the livelihoods of rural communities are at risk because of such changes, as well as their capacity to provide outputs and sustain the livelihoods of rural communities. This study aims to derive a simulation model of vegetation conditions concerning daily temperature and extreme precipitation indices in Katsina State, Nigeria. This study uses remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS)-based analysis, time series analysis of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, and twenty-four indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection to evaluate the influence of Temp and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics/NDVI. The results indicate that the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) is performing satisfactorily in predicting maximum and minimum temperatures, along with precipitation, for the time horizon of the simulation. Mean precipitation of 1.98 mm (RCP2.6), 2.03 mm (RCP4.5), and 2.07 mm (RCP8.5) was revealed in the study area. Tmax and Tmin were projected under low emissions at 20.1 0C and 14.25 0C (RCP2.6), 20.13 °C and 14.26 0C (RCP4.5), and 20.15 0C and 14.27 0C (RCP8.5) respectively. All the scenarios present increasing minimum and maximum temperatures and decreasing precipitation, except for RCP8.5, which predicted a more adverse trend. However, in Katsina State, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), precipitation, Tmax, and Tmin, extreme temperature and precipitation indices, and drought indices successfully demonstrated spatial and temporal variability.
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oai_identifier_str oai:qspace.qu.edu.qa:10576/48858
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publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
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spelling Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)Mohammad, Hadi AhmadAbubakar, AhmedYusoff Ishak, MohdShehu Danhassan, SamirJiahua, ZhangAlatalo, Juha M.VegetationPrecipitationMaximum temperatureMinimum temperatureClimate change significantly impacts local, regional, and global vegetation changes. These changes have continued to threaten ecosystems, especially in dryland areas where moisture is scarce, and the livelihoods of rural communities are at risk because of such changes, as well as their capacity to provide outputs and sustain the livelihoods of rural communities. This study aims to derive a simulation model of vegetation conditions concerning daily temperature and extreme precipitation indices in Katsina State, Nigeria. This study uses remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS)-based analysis, time series analysis of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, and twenty-four indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection to evaluate the influence of Temp and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics/NDVI. The results indicate that the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) is performing satisfactorily in predicting maximum and minimum temperatures, along with precipitation, for the time horizon of the simulation. Mean precipitation of 1.98 mm (RCP2.6), 2.03 mm (RCP4.5), and 2.07 mm (RCP8.5) was revealed in the study area. Tmax and Tmin were projected under low emissions at 20.1 0C and 14.25 0C (RCP2.6), 20.13 °C and 14.26 0C (RCP4.5), and 20.15 0C and 14.27 0C (RCP8.5) respectively. All the scenarios present increasing minimum and maximum temperatures and decreasing precipitation, except for RCP8.5, which predicted a more adverse trend. However, in Katsina State, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), precipitation, Tmax, and Tmin, extreme temperature and precipitation indices, and drought indices successfully demonstrated spatial and temporal variability.Open Access funding was provided by the Qatar National Library.Elsevier2023-10-30T05:08:36Z2023-11-30Articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.1109791470160Xhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23011214http://hdl.handle.net/10576/48858155enhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:qspace.qu.edu.qa:10576/488582024-07-23T15:51:48Z
spellingShingle Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
Mohammad, Hadi Ahmad
Vegetation
Precipitation
Maximum temperature
Minimum temperature
status_str publishedVersion
title Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_full Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_fullStr Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_short Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
title_sort Modeling the influence of daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices on vegetation dynamics in Katsina State using statistical downscaling model (SDM)
topic Vegetation
Precipitation
Maximum temperature
Minimum temperature
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110979
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23011214
http://hdl.handle.net/10576/48858