Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach

The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual po...

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Main Author: Dorahaki, Sobhan (author)
Other Authors: Muyeen, S.M. (author), Amjady, Nima (author), Qarnain, Syed Shuibul (author), Benbouzid, Mohamed (author)
Format: article
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235246772500061X
http://hdl.handle.net/10576/65656
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author Dorahaki, Sobhan
author2 Muyeen, S.M.
Amjady, Nima
Qarnain, Syed Shuibul
Benbouzid, Mohamed
author2_role author
author
author
author
author_facet Dorahaki, Sobhan
Muyeen, S.M.
Amjady, Nima
Qarnain, Syed Shuibul
Benbouzid, Mohamed
author_role author
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Dorahaki, Sobhan
Muyeen, S.M.
Amjady, Nima
Qarnain, Syed Shuibul
Benbouzid, Mohamed
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-06-22T07:50:15Z
2025-06-30
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679
Dorahaki, S., Muyeen, S. M., Amjady, N., Qarnain, S. S., & Benbouzid, M. (2025). Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 42, 101679.
23524677
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235246772500061X
http://hdl.handle.net/10576/65656
42
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv en
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Behavioral economics
Local multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)
Optimization
Prospect theory
Self-scheduling
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
description The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual power plants in upstream energy markets is particularly hindered by the limitations of conventional optimization methods, which fail to capture the nuanced behavioral aspects of decision-making. This paper presents a novel prescriptive behavioral analytics framework for LMCES self-scheduling, integrating insights from prospect theory to address the operator’s behavioral tendencies, including loss aversion, subjective risk attitudes, and mental reference points. By embedding these behavioral considerations into a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, the proposed approach accounts for real-world decision-making complexities often overlooked in conventional economic theories based on rationality. Comparative analyses demonstrate that the proposed framework not only enhances the modeling of LMCES operators’ decision-making processes but also improves energy scheduling efficiency and supports sustainable energy transitions. The findings provide actionable insights for optimizing LMCES operations, advancing their role in achieving energy sustainability goals.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format article
id qu_cca18bb945c2587e51b2dba8bcd46131
identifier_str_mv Dorahaki, S., Muyeen, S. M., Amjady, N., Qarnain, S. S., & Benbouzid, M. (2025). Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 42, 101679.
23524677
42
language_invalid_str_mv en
network_acronym_str qu
network_name_str Qatar University repository
oai_identifier_str oai:qspace.qu.edu.qa:10576/65656
publishDate 2025
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier
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rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
spelling Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approachDorahaki, SobhanMuyeen, S.M.Amjady, NimaQarnain, Syed ShuibulBenbouzid, MohamedBehavioral economicsLocal multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)OptimizationProspect theorySelf-schedulingThe transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual power plants in upstream energy markets is particularly hindered by the limitations of conventional optimization methods, which fail to capture the nuanced behavioral aspects of decision-making. This paper presents a novel prescriptive behavioral analytics framework for LMCES self-scheduling, integrating insights from prospect theory to address the operator’s behavioral tendencies, including loss aversion, subjective risk attitudes, and mental reference points. By embedding these behavioral considerations into a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, the proposed approach accounts for real-world decision-making complexities often overlooked in conventional economic theories based on rationality. Comparative analyses demonstrate that the proposed framework not only enhances the modeling of LMCES operators’ decision-making processes but also improves energy scheduling efficiency and supports sustainable energy transitions. The findings provide actionable insights for optimizing LMCES operations, advancing their role in achieving energy sustainability goals.This publication was made possible by the 1st Cycle of ARG Grant no. ARG01-0504-230073, from the Qatar Research, Development and Innovation (QRDI) Council, Qatar. The findings herein reflect the work, and are solely the responsibility, of the authors. The authors also gratefully acknowledge support from Qatar University. Open Access funding provided by the Qatar National Library.Elsevier2025-06-22T07:50:15Z2025-06-30Articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679Dorahaki, S., Muyeen, S. M., Amjady, N., Qarnain, S. S., & Benbouzid, M. (2025). Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 42, 101679.23524677https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235246772500061Xhttp://hdl.handle.net/10576/6565642enhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:qspace.qu.edu.qa:10576/656562025-06-22T19:08:05Z
spellingShingle Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
Dorahaki, Sobhan
Behavioral economics
Local multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)
Optimization
Prospect theory
Self-scheduling
status_str publishedVersion
title Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_full Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_fullStr Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_full_unstemmed Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_short Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_sort Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
topic Behavioral economics
Local multi-carrier energy system (LMCES)
Optimization
Prospect theory
Self-scheduling
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235246772500061X
http://hdl.handle.net/10576/65656