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values decrease » values increased (Expand Search), largest decrease (Expand Search)
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Model projections for the annual reproduction number assuming a risk distribution with variance 10 in Vietnam and Nepal for crossing the transmission threshold R<sub>0</sub> = 1.
Published 2021“…From 2017, the trajectories split to represent three different scenarios: rates of parameter change are maintained (grey), τ increases according to the increase in case notification in district level (2017:2020), scaled up to country level in 2020 and maintained at this level thereafter (red), a constant rate of increase in τ to reduce R<sub>0</sub> to 1 by 2035 (blue). …”
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