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A panel of HIV forecasts for the Northeast United States obtained using data through 2022. This figure shows the forecasts produced for the Northeast United States utilizing yearly incident HIV diagnoses obtained from the publicly available Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) <i>AtlasPlus</i> dashboard [55], and assuming the default settings of <i>StatModPredict</i>. It can be obtained from the top box of the <i>Forecasting</i> page by clicking the “See Panels” option. For each model, the grey region corresponds to the selected prediction interval, the vertical dashed line is the forecast date (i.e., the last date used to calibrate the model), the red line is the estimated fit or forecast, and the open circles are the observed data. As can be seen, all four models forecast a decrease in the number of HIV diagnoses through 2030.
Published 2025“…As can be seen, all four models forecast a decrease in the number of HIV diagnoses through 2030.…”
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Daily positive/negative likelihood ratios calculated with thresholds of different risk groups.
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Decision curve analysis of PIERS-ML model on day 0 (a), day 4 (b), day 8 (c), and day 13 (d).
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Decision curve analysis on day 0 (a), day 4 (b), day 8 (c), and day 13 (d) (fullPIERS model).
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Case overview.
Published 2025“…Using design-based stereological techniques, we estimated the total number and somal volume of CB<sup>+</sup> neurons in DLG layers. …”
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