Diagram illustrating the MEM method applied to the HMR RRAS 12, in São Paulo state; A: The data input contains the number of cases per week per year, needed to describe the disease’s historical pattern (the dengue seasons used were those inside the percentiles 10% and 90%); B: MEM outputs: The year is split into three periods: pre-epidemic, epidemic and post-epidemic period, with their corresponding dates, duration and incidence thresholds. Intensity levels are computed based on historical quantiles. The grey region represents the epidemic period; red dashed line marks the high-intensity period.

<p> Diagram illustrating the MEM method applied to the HMR RRAS 12, in São Paulo state; A: The data input contains the number of cases per week per year, needed to describe the disease’s historical pattern (the dengue seasons used were those inside the percentiles 10% and 90%); B: MEM outputs:...

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