Specificity ( ) of Scenario E over 20 runs when and .

<p>The numbers in the grid are the number of runs where both λ and κ converged and a cluster of five consecutive points above or 10 consecutive points below the projection interval during the fitting period does not exist. The specificity is measured as the number of those runs where D_first d...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Belinda Lombard (20496382) (author)
Other Authors:	Harry Moultrie (355765) (author), Juliet R.C. Pulliam (17027753) (author), Cari van Schalkwyk (174758) (author)
Published:	2025
Subjects:	Medicine Biotechnology Ecology Computational Biology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Mathematical Sciences not elsewhere classified Information Systems not elsewhere classified xlink "> given possible biases arising may bias inference high global seroprevalence become increasingly important model parameters converged model outputs aligning model &# 8217 low observation probabilities including imperfect observation therefore smaller numbers similar scenarios may incorporated different processes accurately detect changes catalytic model assumes simulated reinfection datasets simulated data representative south african sars imperfect observation low numbers detect changes catalytic model simulated data south africa smaller epidemics model projections track trends scenarios leading positive detection poor convergence outbreak magnitude observed infections observed cases models developed false positives caution must bayesian approach based validation avoid false anticipated outcomes 10 %)
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Specificity ( ) of Scenario E over 20 runs when and .

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