Performance of unweighted and weighted ensemble approaches at the national level.

<p>Left: WIS (averaged over time points and horizons). For reference, vertical lines indicate the performance of the best individual model with (dotted line) an without post-processing (solid line; in both cases RIVM). Middle: WIS (averaged over time points) by nowcast horizon. Right: Coverage...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي:	André Victor Ribeiro Amaral (20818265) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون:	Daniel Wolffram (16819669) (author), Paula Moraga (845998) (author), Johannes Bracher (9106125) (author)
منشور في:	2025
الموضوعات:	Genetics Immunology Cancer Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Mathematical Sciences not elsewhere classified Information Systems not elsewhere classified unweighted nowcast ensembles specific challenges arise rather consistent improvements infectious disease surveillance forecast interval coverage probabilistic nowcasting methods find modest improvement assess current trends 19 hospitalization data different probabilistic nowcasts weighted ensemble nowcasts weighted combination ensemble building different models xlink "> weather forecasting substantial challenge simple methods retrospective corrections resulting biases reporting delays recent comparison real time natural extension methods lead individual models incidence data improving upon g ., frequently subject favorable results constantly revised considered models building upon
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الوصف
الملخص:	<p>Left: WIS (averaged over time points and horizons). For reference, vertical lines indicate the performance of the best individual model with (dotted line) an without post-processing (solid line; in both cases RIVM). Middle: WIS (averaged over time points) by nowcast horizon. Right: Coverage proportions (averaged over time points and horizons).</p>

Performance of unweighted and weighted ensemble approaches at the national level.

مواد مشابهة