Median proportion of estimated reinfections above the projection interval following an increase in reinfection risk.

<p>The figure illustrates the relationship between the increase in risk (σ) and the median proportion of points above the interval across Scenarios A to E. The gaps in Scenario C and D represent scenario definitions where results from all runs were excluded. Scenario E further highlights the v...

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التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي:	Belinda Lombard (20496382) (author)
مؤلفون آخرون:	Harry Moultrie (355765) (author), Juliet R.C. Pulliam (17027753) (author), Cari van Schalkwyk (174758) (author)
منشور في:	2025
الموضوعات:	Medicine Biotechnology Ecology Computational Biology Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Mathematical Sciences not elsewhere classified Information Systems not elsewhere classified xlink "> given possible biases arising may bias inference high global seroprevalence become increasingly important model parameters converged model outputs aligning model &# 8217 low observation probabilities including imperfect observation therefore smaller numbers similar scenarios may incorporated different processes accurately detect changes catalytic model assumes simulated reinfection datasets simulated data representative south african sars imperfect observation low numbers detect changes catalytic model simulated data south africa smaller epidemics model projections track trends scenarios leading positive detection poor convergence outbreak magnitude observed infections observed cases models developed false positives caution must bayesian approach based validation avoid false anticipated outcomes 10 %)
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Median proportion of estimated reinfections above the projection interval following an increase in reinfection risk.

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